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A Hierarchical Approach Using Marginal Summary Statistics for Multiple Intermediates in a Mendelian Randomization or Transcriptome Analysis

Lai Jiang, Shujing Xu, Nicholas Mancuso, Paul J. Newcombe, David V. Conti
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.03.924241
Lai Jiang
1Division of Biostatistics, Department of Preventive Medicine, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
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Shujing Xu
1Division of Biostatistics, Department of Preventive Medicine, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
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Nicholas Mancuso
1Division of Biostatistics, Department of Preventive Medicine, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
2Center for Genetic Epidemiology, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
3Norris Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
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Paul J. Newcombe
4MRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom
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David V. Conti
1Division of Biostatistics, Department of Preventive Medicine, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
2Center for Genetic Epidemiology, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
3Norris Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
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  • For correspondence: dconti@usc.edu
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Abstract

Background Previous research has demonstrated the usefulness of hierarchical modeling for incorporating a flexible array of prior information in genetic association studies. When this prior information consists of effect estimates from association analyses of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP)-intermediate or SNP-gene expression, a hierarchical model is equivalent to a two-stage instrumental or transcriptome-wide association study (TWAS) analysis, respectively.

Methods We propose to extend our previous approach for the joint analysis of marginal summary statistics (JAM) to incorporate prior information via a hierarchical model (hJAM). In this framework, the use of appropriate effect estimates as prior information yields an analysis similar to Mendelian Randomization (MR) and TWAS approaches such as FUSION and S-PrediXcan. However, hJAM is applicable to multiple correlated SNPs and multiple correlated intermediates to yield conditional estimates of effect for the intermediate on the outcome, thus providing advantages over alternative approaches.

Results We investigate the performance of hJAM in comparison to existing MR approaches (inverse-variance weighted MR and multivariate MR) and existing TWAS approaches (S-PrediXcan) for effect estimation, type-I error and empirical power. We apply hJAM to two examples: estimating the conditional effects of body mass index and type 2 diabetes on myocardial infarction and estimating the effects of the expressions of gene NUCKS1 and PM20D1 on the risk of prostate cancer.

Conclusions Across numerous causal simulation scenarios, we demonstrate that hJAM is unbiased, maintains correct type-I error and has increased power.

Key Messages

  • Mendelian randomization and transcriptome-wide association studies (TWAS) can be viewed as similar approaches via a hierarchical model.

  • The hierarchal joint analysis of marginal summary statistics (hJAM) is a multivariate Mendelian randomization approach which offers a simple way to address the pleiotropy bias that is introduced by genetic variants associated with multiple risk factors or expressions of genes.

  • hJAM incorporates the linkage disequilibrium structure of the single nucleotide polymorphism (SNPs) in a reference population to account for the correlation between SNPs.

  • In addition to Mendelian randomization and TWAS, hJAM offers flexibility to incorporate functional or genomic annotation or information from metabolomic studies.

Copyright 
The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license.
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Posted February 04, 2020.
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A Hierarchical Approach Using Marginal Summary Statistics for Multiple Intermediates in a Mendelian Randomization or Transcriptome Analysis
Lai Jiang, Shujing Xu, Nicholas Mancuso, Paul J. Newcombe, David V. Conti
bioRxiv 2020.02.03.924241; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.03.924241
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A Hierarchical Approach Using Marginal Summary Statistics for Multiple Intermediates in a Mendelian Randomization or Transcriptome Analysis
Lai Jiang, Shujing Xu, Nicholas Mancuso, Paul J. Newcombe, David V. Conti
bioRxiv 2020.02.03.924241; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.03.924241

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