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The within-host viral kinetics of SARS-CoV-2

Chentong Li, Jinhu Xu, Jiawei Liu, Yicang Zhou
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.29.965418
Chentong Li
aSchool of Mathematics and Statistics, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, 710049, P.R.China
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Jinhu Xu
bSchool of Sciences, Xi’an University of Technology, Xi’an, 710048, P.R.China
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Jiawei Liu
cDepartment of Ecology and Evolution, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637, USA
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Yicang Zhou
aSchool of Mathematics and Statistics, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, 710049, P.R.China
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  • For correspondence: zhouyc@xjtu.edu.cn
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Abstract

In this work, we use a within-host viral dynamic model to describe the SARS-CoV-2 kinetics in host. Chest radiograph score data are used to estimate the parameters of that model. Our result shows that the basic reproductive number of SARS-CoV-2 in host growth is around 3.79. Using the same method we also estimate the basic reproductive number of MERS virus is 8.16 which is higher than SARS-CoV-2. The PRCC method is used to analyze the sensitivities of model parameters and the drug effects on virus growth are also implemented to analyze the model.

Footnotes

  • FIxed some typos.

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The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license.
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Posted March 07, 2020.
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The within-host viral kinetics of SARS-CoV-2
Chentong Li, Jinhu Xu, Jiawei Liu, Yicang Zhou
bioRxiv 2020.02.29.965418; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.29.965418
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The within-host viral kinetics of SARS-CoV-2
Chentong Li, Jinhu Xu, Jiawei Liu, Yicang Zhou
bioRxiv 2020.02.29.965418; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.29.965418

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