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Modification of forests by people means only 40% of remaining forests have high ecosystem integrity

H.S. Grantham, A. Duncan, T. D. Evans, K. Jones, H. Beyer, View ORCID ProfileR. Schuster, J. Walston, J. Ray, J. Robinson, M. Callow, T. Clements, H.M. Costa, A. DeGemmis, View ORCID ProfileP.R. Elsen, J. Ervin, P. Franco, E. Goldman, S. Goetz, A. Hansen, E. Hofsvang, P. Jantz, S. Jupiter, A. Kang, P. Langhammer, W.F. Laurance, S. Lieberman, M. Linkie, View ORCID ProfileY. Malhi, S. Maxwell, M. Mendez, R. Mittermeier, N. Murray, H. Possingham, J. Radachowsky, C. Samper, J. Silverman, A. Shapiro, B. Strassburg, T. Stevens, E. Stokes, R. Taylor, T. Tear, R. Tizard, O. Venter, P. Visconti, S. Wang, J.E.M. Watson
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.05.978858
H.S. Grantham
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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  • For correspondence: hgrantham@wcs.org
A. Duncan
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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T. D. Evans
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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K. Jones
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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H. Beyer
2School of Biological Sciences, University of Queensland, St. Lucia, Queensland, Australia
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R. Schuster
3Department of Biology, 1125 Colonel By Drive, Carleton University, Ottawa ON, K1S 5B6 Canada
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  • ORCID record for R. Schuster
J. Walston
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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J. Ray
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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J. Robinson
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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M. Callow
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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T. Clements
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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H.M. Costa
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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A. DeGemmis
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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P.R. Elsen
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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J. Ervin
4United Nations Development Programme, One United Nations Plaza, New York, NY, 10017, USA
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P. Franco
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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E. Goldman
5World Resources Institute, Washington, DC, USA
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S. Goetz
6Global Earth Observation & Dynamics of Ecosystems Lab, School of Informatics, Computing, and Cyber Systems, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, 86011, USA
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A. Hansen
7Landscape Biodiversity Lab, Ecology Department, Montana State University, Bozeman, MT, 59717, USA
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E. Hofsvang
8Rainforest Foundation Norway, Mariboes gate 8, 0183 Oslo
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P. Jantz
6Global Earth Observation & Dynamics of Ecosystems Lab, School of Informatics, Computing, and Cyber Systems, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, 86011, USA
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S. Jupiter
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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A. Kang
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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P. Langhammer
9Global Wildlife Conservation, P.O. Box 129, Austin, Texas 78767, USA
10School of Life Sciences, Arizona State University, P.O. Box 874501, Tempe, Arizona 85287, USA
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W.F. Laurance
11Centre for Tropical Environmental and Sustainability Science, College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Cairns, QLD 4878, Australia
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S. Lieberman
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M. Linkie
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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Y. Malhi
12Environmental Change Institute, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
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  • ORCID record for Y. Malhi
S. Maxwell
13School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
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M. Mendez
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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R. Mittermeier
9Global Wildlife Conservation, P.O. Box 129, Austin, Texas 78767, USA
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N. Murray
11Centre for Tropical Environmental and Sustainability Science, College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Cairns, QLD 4878, Australia
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H. Possingham
2School of Biological Sciences, University of Queensland, St. Lucia, Queensland, Australia
14The Nature Conservancy, Arlington, VA, USA
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J. Radachowsky
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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C. Samper
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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J. Silverman
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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A. Shapiro
15World Wide Fund for Nature Germany, Space+Science
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B. Strassburg
17International Institute of Sustainability, Rio de Janeiro, 22460-320, Brazil
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T. Stevens
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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E. Stokes
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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R. Taylor
5World Resources Institute, Washington, DC, USA
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T. Tear
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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R. Tizard
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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O. Venter
16Natural Resource and Environmental Studies Institute, University of Northern British Columbia, Prince George, Canada
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P. Visconti
18International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
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S. Wang
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
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J.E.M. Watson
1Wildlife Conservation Society, Global Conservation Program, Bronx, New York, 10460 USA
13School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
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Abstract

Many global environmental agendas, including halting biodiversity loss, reversing land degradation, and limiting climate change, depend upon retaining forests with high ecological integrity, yet the scale and degree of forest modification remains poorly quantified and mapped. By integrating data on observed and inferred human pressures and an index of lost connectivity, we generate the first globally-consistent, continuous index of forest condition as determined by degree of anthropogenic modification. Globally, only 17.4 million km2 of forest (40.5%) have high landscape level integrity (mostly found in Canada, Russia, the Amazon, Central Africa and New Guinea) and only 27% of this area is found in nationally-designated protected areas. Of the forest in protected areas, only 56% has high landscape level integrity. Ambitious policies that prioritize the retention of forest integrity, especially in the most intact areas, are now urgently needed alongside current efforts aimed at halting deforestation and restoring the integrity of forests globally.

Competing Interest Statement

The authors have declared no competing interest.

Footnotes

  • Updated Table S5

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The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license.
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Posted May 31, 2020.
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Modification of forests by people means only 40% of remaining forests have high ecosystem integrity
H.S. Grantham, A. Duncan, T. D. Evans, K. Jones, H. Beyer, R. Schuster, J. Walston, J. Ray, J. Robinson, M. Callow, T. Clements, H.M. Costa, A. DeGemmis, P.R. Elsen, J. Ervin, P. Franco, E. Goldman, S. Goetz, A. Hansen, E. Hofsvang, P. Jantz, S. Jupiter, A. Kang, P. Langhammer, W.F. Laurance, S. Lieberman, M. Linkie, Y. Malhi, S. Maxwell, M. Mendez, R. Mittermeier, N. Murray, H. Possingham, J. Radachowsky, C. Samper, J. Silverman, A. Shapiro, B. Strassburg, T. Stevens, E. Stokes, R. Taylor, T. Tear, R. Tizard, O. Venter, P. Visconti, S. Wang, J.E.M. Watson
bioRxiv 2020.03.05.978858; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.05.978858
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Modification of forests by people means only 40% of remaining forests have high ecosystem integrity
H.S. Grantham, A. Duncan, T. D. Evans, K. Jones, H. Beyer, R. Schuster, J. Walston, J. Ray, J. Robinson, M. Callow, T. Clements, H.M. Costa, A. DeGemmis, P.R. Elsen, J. Ervin, P. Franco, E. Goldman, S. Goetz, A. Hansen, E. Hofsvang, P. Jantz, S. Jupiter, A. Kang, P. Langhammer, W.F. Laurance, S. Lieberman, M. Linkie, Y. Malhi, S. Maxwell, M. Mendez, R. Mittermeier, N. Murray, H. Possingham, J. Radachowsky, C. Samper, J. Silverman, A. Shapiro, B. Strassburg, T. Stevens, E. Stokes, R. Taylor, T. Tear, R. Tizard, O. Venter, P. Visconti, S. Wang, J.E.M. Watson
bioRxiv 2020.03.05.978858; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.05.978858

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