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Mysterious disappearances of a large mammal in Neotropical forests

View ORCID ProfileJ.M.V. Fragoso, A.P. Antunes, View ORCID ProfileM. Altrichter, View ORCID ProfileP.A.L. Constantino, View ORCID ProfileG. Zapata-Ríos, View ORCID ProfileM. Camino, View ORCID ProfileB. de Thoisy, View ORCID ProfileR.B. Wallace, View ORCID ProfileH.R. El Bizri, View ORCID ProfileT.Q. Morcatty, View ORCID ProfileP. Mayor, View ORCID ProfileC. Richard-Hansen, View ORCID ProfileM.T. Hallett, View ORCID ProfileR.A. Reyna-Hurtado, View ORCID ProfileH. Beck, View ORCID ProfileS. de Bustos, View ORCID ProfileR.E. Bodmer, View ORCID ProfileA. Keuroghlian, View ORCID ProfileA. Nava, View ORCID ProfileO.L. Montenegro, View ORCID ProfileE. Painkow Neto, View ORCID ProfileA.L.J. Desbiez, View ORCID ProfileK.M. Silvius
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.12.08.416552
J.M.V. Fragoso
1Departamento de Zoologia, Universidade de Brasília, Brasília, DF 70910-900, Brazil
2Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazonia (Inpa/MCTIC) (INPA), 69.067-375, Manaus, Brazil
3California Academy of Sciences, San Francisco, CA 94118, USA,
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  • For correspondence: fragoso1@mac.com fragoso1@mac.com
A.P. Antunes
4RedeFauna – Rede de Pesquisa em Diversidade, Conservação e Uso da Fauna da Amazônia, Estrada do Bexiga, 2584, Tefé, AM, 69553-225, Brazil
5Laboratório de Manejo de Fauna, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia (INPA), Av. André Araújo, 2.936 - Petrópolis - CEP 69067-375 - Manaus -AM, Brazil,
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  • For correspondence: aapardalis@gmail.com
M. Altrichter
6Faculty Environmental Studies, Prescott College, Arizona; Co-chair IUCN/SSC Peccary Specialist Group. 1280 S Manzanita Hill Prescott, AZ, 86303, USA,
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  • For correspondence: marianaalt@msn.com
P.A.L. Constantino
7RedeFauna - Rede de Pesquisa em Diversidade, Conservação e Uso da Fauna da Amazônia - Estrada do Bexiga, 2584, Tefé, AM, 69553-225, Brazil,
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G. Zapata-Ríos
8Wildlife Conservation Society – Ecuador Program, Mariana de Jesús E7-248 y La Pradera, Quito – Ecuador,
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M. Camino
9Proyecto Quimilero, Roosevelt 4344, CABA, Argentina. CP 1430
10EDGE of Existence - Zoological Society of London, Regent’s Park, London, England NW1 4RY, UK,
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B. de Thoisy
11Kwata NGO, Cayenne; French Guiana,
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R.B. Wallace
12Wildlife Conservation Society, 2300 Southern Boulevard Bronx, New York 10460, USA,
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H.R. El Bizri
13Department of Natural Sciences, Manchester Metropolitan University, Manchester M15 6BH, UK
14Instituto de Desenvolvimento Sustentável Mamirauá, Estrada do Bexiga, 2584, Tefé, AM, 69553-225, Brazil,
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T.Q. Morcatty
15Department of Social Sciences, Oxford Brookes University, Oxford, OX3 0BP, UK
16Instituto de Desenvolvimento Sustentável Mamirauá, Estrada do Bexiga, 2584, Tefé, AM, 69553-225, Brazil,
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P. Mayor
17Departament de Sanitat i d’Anatomia Animals, Facultat de Veterinària, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Spain
18Museo de Culturas Indígenas Amazónicas, Loreto, Iquitos, Peru
19ComFauna, Comunidad de Manejo de Fauna Silvestre en la Amazonía y en Latinoamérica, 332 Malecon. Tarapaca, Iquitos, Peru,
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C. Richard-Hansen
20Office Français de la Biodiversité-DRAS/UPFSEO UMR EcoFoG. Les portes du Soleil, 147 avenue de Lodève, 34990 Juvignac, France,
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M.T. Hallett
21Department of Wildlife Ecology & Conservation, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA
22Institute for the Environment & Sustainability, Miami University, Oxford, OH, USA
23Center for International Forestry Research (CIFOR), Bogor, Indonesia,
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R.A. Reyna-Hurtado
24El Colegio de la Frontera Sur -Unidad Campeche: Campeche, Campeche, MX,
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H. Beck
25Co-chair IUCN/SSC Peccary Specialist Group, Department of Biological Sciences, Towson University, 8000 York Road, Towson, Baltimore, MD 21239, USA,
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S. de Bustos
26Secretaría de Ambiente y Desarrollo Sustentable de Salta, Santiago del Estero 2246, Salta, Argentina
27Fundación Biodiversidad Argentina, Suipacha 1311, 5to piso, CABA, Argentina,
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R.E. Bodmer
28Museum of Amazonian Cultures-Fundamazonia, 332 Malecon Tarapacá, Iquitos, Perú,
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A. Keuroghlian
29Peccary Project/IUCN/SSC Peccary Specialist Group,
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A. Nava
30Fiocruz ILMD Amazon, 476 Teresina Street. Adrianópolis, Manaus - AM. CEP: 69.057-070, Brazil,
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O.L. Montenegro
31Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Facultad de Ciencias, Instituto de Ciencias Naturales, Grupo en Conservación y Manejo de Vida Silvestre, Carrera 30 # 45-03, Edificio 425, Bogotá, Colombia,
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E. Painkow Neto
32Tropical Sustainability Institute – TSI, Estrada Tambaú, 9, Chácaras do Refúgio, CEP 06.342-030 – Carapicuíba – São Paulo, Brazil,
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A.L.J. Desbiez
33Conservation and Research Department, Royal Zoological Society of Scotland, Murrayfield, Edinburgh, EH12 6TS U.K,
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K.M. Silvius
34Department of Forest Resources and Environmental Conservation, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA, USA,
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  • For correspondence: ksilvius@vt.edu
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Summary

The drivers of periodic population cycling by some animal species in northern systems remain unresolved1. Mysterious disappearances of populations of the Neotropical, herdforming white-lipped peccary (Tayassu pecari, henceforth “WLP”) have been anecdotally documented and explained as local events resulting from migratory movements or overhunting2,3,4, or as disease outbreaks5,6, and have not been considered in the context of large-scale species-specific population dynamics. Here we present evidence that WLP disappearances represent troughs in population cycles that occur with regular periodicity and are synchronized at regional and perhaps continent-wide spatial scales. Analysis of 43 disappearance events and 88 years of commercial and subsistence harvesting data reveals boom – bust population cycles lasting from 20 to 30 years, in which a rapid population crash occurring over 1 to 5 years is followed by a period of absence of 7 to12 years and then a slow growth phase. Overhunting alone cannot explain the crashes, but as in northern systems dispersal during the growth phase appears to play a key role. This is the first documentation of population cycling in a tropical vertebrate.

Competing Interest Statement

The authors have declared no competing interest.

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The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license.
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Mysterious disappearances of a large mammal in Neotropical forests
J.M.V. Fragoso, A.P. Antunes, M. Altrichter, P.A.L. Constantino, G. Zapata-Ríos, M. Camino, B. de Thoisy, R.B. Wallace, H.R. El Bizri, T.Q. Morcatty, P. Mayor, C. Richard-Hansen, M.T. Hallett, R.A. Reyna-Hurtado, H. Beck, S. de Bustos, R.E. Bodmer, A. Keuroghlian, A. Nava, O.L. Montenegro, E. Painkow Neto, A.L.J. Desbiez, K.M. Silvius
bioRxiv 2020.12.08.416552; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.12.08.416552
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Mysterious disappearances of a large mammal in Neotropical forests
J.M.V. Fragoso, A.P. Antunes, M. Altrichter, P.A.L. Constantino, G. Zapata-Ríos, M. Camino, B. de Thoisy, R.B. Wallace, H.R. El Bizri, T.Q. Morcatty, P. Mayor, C. Richard-Hansen, M.T. Hallett, R.A. Reyna-Hurtado, H. Beck, S. de Bustos, R.E. Bodmer, A. Keuroghlian, A. Nava, O.L. Montenegro, E. Painkow Neto, A.L.J. Desbiez, K.M. Silvius
bioRxiv 2020.12.08.416552; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.12.08.416552

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