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Physiology and ecology combine to determine host and vector importance for Ross River virus and other vector-borne diseases

View ORCID ProfileMorgan P. Kain, View ORCID ProfileEloise Skinner, Andrew F. van den Hurk, View ORCID ProfileHamish McCallum, View ORCID ProfileErin A. Mordecai
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.01.28.428670
Morgan P. Kain
1Department of Biology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, 94305, USA
2Natural Capital Project, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
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  • ORCID record for Morgan P. Kain
  • For correspondence: morganpkain@gmail.com kainm@stanford.edu ebskinn@stanford.edu
Eloise Skinner
1Department of Biology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, 94305, USA
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  • For correspondence: morganpkain@gmail.com kainm@stanford.edu ebskinn@stanford.edu
Andrew F. van den Hurk
3Public Health Virology, Forensic and Scientific Services, Department of Health, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
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Hamish McCallum
4School of Environment, Griffith University, Nathan, Queensland 4111, Australia
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Erin A. Mordecai
1Department of Biology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, 94305, USA
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Abstract

Identifying the key vector and host species driving transmission is notoriously difficult for vector-borne zoonoses, but critical for disease control. Here, we present a general approach for quantifying the role hosts and vectors play in transmission that integrates species’ physiological competence with their ecological traits. We apply this model to the medically important arbovirus Ross River virus (RRV), in Brisbane, Australia. We find that vertebrate species with high physiological competence weren’t the most important for community transmission. Instead we estimate that humans (previously overlooked as epidemiologically important hosts) are important spreaders of RRV, in part because they attract highly competent vectors. By contrast, vectors with high physiological competence were also important for community transmission. Finally, we uncovered two distinct but overlapping transmission cycles: an enzootic cycle involving birds and Coquillettidia linealis and an urban cycle involving humans and Aedes vigilax. Broadly, this approach can be applied to other zoonoses.

Competing Interest Statement

The authors have declared no competing interest.

Copyright 
The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license.
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Posted January 28, 2021.
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Physiology and ecology combine to determine host and vector importance for Ross River virus and other vector-borne diseases
Morgan P. Kain, Eloise Skinner, Andrew F. van den Hurk, Hamish McCallum, Erin A. Mordecai
bioRxiv 2021.01.28.428670; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.01.28.428670
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Physiology and ecology combine to determine host and vector importance for Ross River virus and other vector-borne diseases
Morgan P. Kain, Eloise Skinner, Andrew F. van den Hurk, Hamish McCallum, Erin A. Mordecai
bioRxiv 2021.01.28.428670; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.01.28.428670

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