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Fossil data do not support a long pre-Cretaceous history of flowering plants

View ORCID ProfileGraham E. Budd, View ORCID ProfileRichard P. Mann, James A. Doyle, Mario Coiro, Jason Hilton
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.02.16.431478
Graham E. Budd
1Department of Earth Sciences, Palaeobiology Programme, Uppsala University, Sweden
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  • For correspondence: graham.budd@pal.uu.se
Richard P. Mann
2School of Mathematics, University of Leeds, UK
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James A. Doyle
3Department of Evolution and Ecology, University of California, Davis, California, USA
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Mario Coiro
4Department of Biology, University of Fribourg, Fribourg, Switzerland
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Jason Hilton
5School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham, UK
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Abstract

The origin of angiosperms is a classic macroevolutionary problem, because of their rapid rise in the Early Cretaceous fossil record, beginning about 139 Ma ago, and the conflict this creates with older crown-group ages based on molecular clock dating1. Silvestro et al.2 use a novel methodology to model past angiosperm diversity based on a Bayesian Brownian Bridge model of fossil finds assigned to extant families, concluding that a Cretaceous origin is vanishingly unlikely. However, their results strongly conflict with the known temporal distribution of angiosperm fossils, and, while we agree that statistical analysis aids interpretation of the fossil record, here we show the conclusions of Silvestro et al.2 are unsound.

Competing Interest Statement

The authors have declared no competing interest.

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The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
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Posted February 17, 2021.
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Fossil data do not support a long pre-Cretaceous history of flowering plants
Graham E. Budd, Richard P. Mann, James A. Doyle, Mario Coiro, Jason Hilton
bioRxiv 2021.02.16.431478; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.02.16.431478
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Fossil data do not support a long pre-Cretaceous history of flowering plants
Graham E. Budd, Richard P. Mann, James A. Doyle, Mario Coiro, Jason Hilton
bioRxiv 2021.02.16.431478; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.02.16.431478

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