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Does time matter in phylogeny? A perspective from the fossil record

View ORCID ProfilePauline Guenser, View ORCID ProfileRachel C.M. Warnock, View ORCID ProfileWalker Pett, View ORCID ProfilePhilip C.J. Donoghue, View ORCID ProfileEmilia Jarochowska
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.06.11.445746
Pauline Guenser
1GeoZentrum Nordbayern, Fachgruppe Paläouwelt, University of Erlangen-Nürnberg, Loewenichstr. 28, 91054 Erlangen, Germany; , ,
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  • For correspondence: pauline.guenser@gmail.com pauline.guenser@gmail.com rachel.warnock@fau.de emilia.jarochowska@fau.de
Rachel C.M. Warnock
1GeoZentrum Nordbayern, Fachgruppe Paläouwelt, University of Erlangen-Nürnberg, Loewenichstr. 28, 91054 Erlangen, Germany; , ,
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  • For correspondence: pauline.guenser@gmail.com rachel.warnock@fau.de emilia.jarochowska@fau.de
Walker Pett
2Department of Ecology, Evolution and Organismal Biology, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011, USA;
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Philip C.J. Donoghue
3School of Earth Sciences, University of Bristol, Life Sciences Building, Tyndall Avenue, Bristol, BS8 1TH UK;
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Emilia Jarochowska
1GeoZentrum Nordbayern, Fachgruppe Paläouwelt, University of Erlangen-Nürnberg, Loewenichstr. 28, 91054 Erlangen, Germany; , ,
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  • For correspondence: pauline.guenser@gmail.com rachel.warnock@fau.de emilia.jarochowska@fau.de
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ABSTRACT

The role of time (i.e. taxa ages) in phylogeny has been a source of intense debate within palaeontology for decades and has not yet been resolved fully. The fossilised birth-death range process is a model that explicitly accounts for information about species through time. It presents a fresh opportunity to examine the role of stratigraphic data in phylogenetic inference of fossil taxa. Here, we apply this model in a Bayesian framework to an exemplar dataset of well-dated conodonts from the Late Devonian. We compare the results to those obtained using traditional unconstrained tree inference. We show that the combined analysis of morphology and stratigraphic data under the FBD range process reduces overall phylogenetic uncertainty, compared to unconstrained tree inference. We find that previous phylogenetic hypotheses based on parsimony and stratophenetics are closer to trees generated under the FBD range process. However, the results also highlight that irrespective of the inclusion of age data, a large amount of topological uncertainty will remain. Bayesian inference provides the most intuitive way to represent the uncertainty inherent in fossil datasets and new flexible models increase opportunities to refine hypotheses in palaeobiology.

Competing Interest Statement

The authors have declared no competing interest.

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Posted October 27, 2021.
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Does time matter in phylogeny? A perspective from the fossil record
Pauline Guenser, Rachel C.M. Warnock, Walker Pett, Philip C.J. Donoghue, Emilia Jarochowska
bioRxiv 2021.06.11.445746; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.06.11.445746
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Does time matter in phylogeny? A perspective from the fossil record
Pauline Guenser, Rachel C.M. Warnock, Walker Pett, Philip C.J. Donoghue, Emilia Jarochowska
bioRxiv 2021.06.11.445746; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.06.11.445746

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