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dynamAedes: a unified modelling framework for invasive Aedes mosquitoes

View ORCID ProfileDaniele Da Re, View ORCID ProfileWim Van Bortel, Friederike Reuss, Ruth Müller, Sebastien Boyer, Fabrizio Montarsi, Silvia Ciocchetta, Daniele Arnoldi, Giovanni Marini, Annapaola Rizzoli, Gregory L’Ambert, Guillaume Lacour, Constantianus J.M. Koenraadt, Sophie O. Vanwambeke, Matteo Marcantonio
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.12.21.473628
Daniele Da Re
1Georges Lemaître Center for Earth and Climate Research, Earth and Life Institute, UCLouvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium
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  • ORCID record for Daniele Da Re
  • For correspondence: daniele.dare@uclouvain.be
Wim Van Bortel
2Unit Entomology and the Outbreak Research Team, Tropical Medicine Institute, Antwerp, Belgium
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Friederike Reuss
3Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre, Frankfurt am Main, Germany
4Institute of Occupational, Social and Environmental Medicine, Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany
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Ruth Müller
2Unit Entomology and the Outbreak Research Team, Tropical Medicine Institute, Antwerp, Belgium
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Sebastien Boyer
5Medical and Veterinary Entomology Unit, Institute Pasteur du Cambodge, Cambodia
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Fabrizio Montarsi
6Laboratory of Parasitology, National reference centre/OIE collaborating centre for diseases at the animal-human interface, Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale delle Venezie, Legnaro, Italy
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Silvia Ciocchetta
7The University of Queensland, School of Veterinary Science, Gatton, Australia
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Daniele Arnoldi
8Department of Biodiversity and Molecular Ecology, Research and Innovation Centre, Fondazione Edmund Mach, San Michele all’Adige, Trento, Italy
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Giovanni Marini
8Department of Biodiversity and Molecular Ecology, Research and Innovation Centre, Fondazione Edmund Mach, San Michele all’Adige, Trento, Italy
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Annapaola Rizzoli
8Department of Biodiversity and Molecular Ecology, Research and Innovation Centre, Fondazione Edmund Mach, San Michele all’Adige, Trento, Italy
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Gregory L’Ambert
9EID Méditerranée, Direction Technique, Montpellier, France
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Guillaume Lacour
10Altopictus, Pérols, France
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Constantianus J.M. Koenraadt
11Wageningen University & Research, Department of Plant Sciences, Laboratory of Entomology, Wageningen, The Netherlands
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Sophie O. Vanwambeke
1Georges Lemaître Center for Earth and Climate Research, Earth and Life Institute, UCLouvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium
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Matteo Marcantonio
12Evolutionary Ecology and Genetics Group, Earth and Life Institute, UCLouvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium
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Abstract

  1. Mosquito species belonging to the genus Aedes have attracted the interest of scientists and public health officers for their invasive species traits and efficient capacity of transmitting viruses affecting humans. Some of these species were brought outside their native range by human activities such as trade and tourism, and colonised new regions thanks to a unique combination of eco-physiological traits.

  2. Considering mosquito physiological and behavioural traits to understand and predict the spatial and temporal population dynamics is thus a crucial step to develop strategies to mitigate the local densities of invasive Aedes populations.

  3. Here, we synthesised the life cycle of four invasive Aedes species (Ae. aegypti, Ae. albopictus, Ae. japonicus and Ae. koreicus) in a single multi-scale stochastic modelling framework which we coded in the R package dynamAedes. We designed a stage-based and time-discrete stochastic model driven by temperature, photo-period and inter-specific larval competition that can be applied to three different spatial scales: punctual, local and regional. These spatial scales consider different degrees of spatial complexity and data availability, by accounting for both active and passive dispersal of mosquito species as well as for the heterogeneity of the input temperature data.

  4. Our overarching aim was to provide a flexible, open-source and user-friendly tool rooted in the most updated knowledge on species biology which could be applied to the management of invasive Aedes populations as well as for more theoretical ecological inquiries.

Competing Interest Statement

The authors have declared no competing interest.

Copyright 
The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license.
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Posted December 22, 2021.
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dynamAedes: a unified modelling framework for invasive Aedes mosquitoes
Daniele Da Re, Wim Van Bortel, Friederike Reuss, Ruth Müller, Sebastien Boyer, Fabrizio Montarsi, Silvia Ciocchetta, Daniele Arnoldi, Giovanni Marini, Annapaola Rizzoli, Gregory L’Ambert, Guillaume Lacour, Constantianus J.M. Koenraadt, Sophie O. Vanwambeke, Matteo Marcantonio
bioRxiv 2021.12.21.473628; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.12.21.473628
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dynamAedes: a unified modelling framework for invasive Aedes mosquitoes
Daniele Da Re, Wim Van Bortel, Friederike Reuss, Ruth Müller, Sebastien Boyer, Fabrizio Montarsi, Silvia Ciocchetta, Daniele Arnoldi, Giovanni Marini, Annapaola Rizzoli, Gregory L’Ambert, Guillaume Lacour, Constantianus J.M. Koenraadt, Sophie O. Vanwambeke, Matteo Marcantonio
bioRxiv 2021.12.21.473628; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.12.21.473628

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