Abstract
The field of optimal experimental design uses mathematical techniques to determine experiments that are maximally informative from a given experimental setup. Here we apply a technique from artificial intelligence—reinforcement learning—to the optimal experimental design task of maximizing confidence in estimates of model parameter values. We show that a reinforcement learning approach performs favourably in comparison with a one-step ahead optimisation algorithm and a model predictive controller for the inference of bacterial growth parameters in a simulated chemostat. Further, we demonstrate the ability of reinforcement learning to train over a distribution of parameters, indicating that this approach is robust to parametric uncertainty.
Author summary Biological systems are often complex and typically exhibit non-linear behaviour, making accurate model parametrisation difficult. Optimal experimental design tools help address this problem by identifying experiments that are predicted to provide maximally accurate parameter estimates. In this work we use reinforcement learning, an artificial intelligence method, to determine such experiments. Our simulation studies show that this approach allows uncertainty in model parameterisation to be directly incorporated into the search for optimal experiments, opening a practical avenue for training an experimental controller without confident knowledge of the system’s parameter values. We present this method as complementary to existing optimisation approaches and we anticipate that artificial intelligence has a fundamental role to play in the future of optimal experimental design.
Competing Interest Statement
The authors have declared no competing interest.
Footnotes
* christopher.barnes{at}ucl.ac.uk