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The emergence of new lineages of the Monkeypox virus could affect the 2022 outbreak

View ORCID ProfileMayla Abrahim, View ORCID ProfileAlexandro Guterres, View ORCID ProfilePatrícia Cristina da Costa Neves, Ana Paula Dinis Ano Bom
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.07.07.498743
Mayla Abrahim
1Laboratório de Tecnologia Imunológica, Instituto de Tecnologia em Imunobiológicos, Vice-Diretoria de Desenvolvimento Tecnológico, Bio-Manguinhos, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ), Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
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Alexandro Guterres
1Laboratório de Tecnologia Imunológica, Instituto de Tecnologia em Imunobiológicos, Vice-Diretoria de Desenvolvimento Tecnológico, Bio-Manguinhos, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ), Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
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  • For correspondence: guterres_rj@yahoo.com.br
Patrícia Cristina da Costa Neves
1Laboratório de Tecnologia Imunológica, Instituto de Tecnologia em Imunobiológicos, Vice-Diretoria de Desenvolvimento Tecnológico, Bio-Manguinhos, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ), Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
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Ana Paula Dinis Ano Bom
1Laboratório de Tecnologia Imunológica, Instituto de Tecnologia em Imunobiológicos, Vice-Diretoria de Desenvolvimento Tecnológico, Bio-Manguinhos, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ), Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
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Abstract

Human monkeypox is a contagious zoonotic viral disease caused by Monkeypox virus and is causing a current outbreak in various regions of the world, being already considered an epidemic and a global public health problem. From the sequenced monkeypox genomes of clades B.1, A.1.1 and A.2 available, we performed analyzes of 9 proteins considered important in the pathogenesis of the disease (A9L, A36R, A50L, B9R, B16L, C3L, C7L, C12L (SPI-1) and H5R) and 4 important proteins for the host’s immune response (A27L, A33R, B5R and L1R). We identified four synonymous mutations and six amino acid changes, of which four are in conserved domains, such changes can alter the function of proteins. Furthermore, we did not find the C3L protein in monkeypox genomes from the 2022 outbreak, an important protein for disease pathogenicity. Our analyses suggest that lineage/clade A.2 may be suffering the different effects of various selective pressures than lineage/clade B.1. In conclusion, the mutations identified in the present study have not yet been associated with genetic alterations, significant changes in the transmission route, mean age, signs/symptoms at the clinical presentation, and their evolution could be detected. Therefore, further research in the field is needed since our findings need to be confirmed by new studies.

Introduction

In May 2022, numerous cases of monkeypox started to be identified in several non-endemic countries. In about a month, more than 3.500 confirmed cases of monkeypox have been reported in, at least, 50 non-African countries until past week. (Kraemer et al., 2022; World Health Organization, 2022). These features are totally new for this disease in humans, since Monkeypox virus was endemic in West and Central Africa, and only occasionally caused short outbreaks elsewhere in the world, which were quickly contained or peter out by themselves (Huhn et al., 2005; Reed et al., 2004). In endemic African countries, published mortality rates vary from 1% to 10%. Despite the data restriction, the lineage/clade responsible for outbreaks in the Congo Basin appears to be associated with higher virulence (Likos et al., 2005).

Monkeypox virus is a double-stranded DNA virus with about 200-kb genome, being a member of the Orthopoxvirus genus from the Poxviridae family. Recently, two lineages of the Monkeypox virus were identified in the current outbreak in non-endemic countries (Gigante et al., 2022). The most sequenced lineage/clade, to date, is related with a 2021 travel-associated case from Nigeria to Maryland in the USA (USA_2021_MD) that displays high similarity to the predominant 2022 Monkeypox virus outbreak sequences. The second lineage/clade is related to Monkeypox virus from a 2021 traveler from Nigeria to Texas in the USA (USA_2021_TX) (Figure 01). In 2005, Likos and collaborators compared clinical, laboratory and epidemiological features of confirmed human monkeypox case-patients. They suggested that human disease pathogenicity was associated with the viral lineage/clade (West African and Congo Basin (Central African)). A comparison of proteins between Monkeypox virus clades permitted the prediction of viral proteins that could cause the observed differences in human pathogenicity (Likos et al., 2005).

Figure 01.
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Figure 01.

Phylogenetic analysis of human monkeypox virus based on 171 genomes complete sequences using the Maximum Likelihood Method using RAxML. The Hasegawa-Kishino-Yano model with gamma-distributed heterogeneity (HKY + G) was selected as the best-fit evolutionary model. Bootstrap: 1000.

The re-emergence and dissemination of the Monkeypox virus have resulted in infections across the globe. Something has changed. Before the 2022 outbreak, cases outside Africa have previously been limited to a handful that was associated with travel to Africa or with the importation of infected animals. Moreover, the ongoing cases differ from previous outbreaks in terms of age (thirties), sex/gender (most cases being males), and transmission route, being sexual transmission being highly likely. The clinical presentation is atypical and unusual, being characterized by anogenital lesions and rashes that relatively spare the face and extremities (Bragazzi et al., 2022).

Methods

Complete genome sequences of deposited Monkeypox virus were retrieved from the GenBank® (www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov). Multiple sequence alignment as well as the comparison of nucleotide sequences were performed with MAFFT version 7.4 employing the E-INS-I algorithm (https://mafft.cbrc.jp/alignment/software/). The phylogenetic relations of the complete genome were estimated using Maximum Likelihood Method implemented in RAxML (https://cme.h-its.org/exelixis/web/software/raxml/) under the HKY+G+I model of sequence evolution. Statistical support of the clades was measured by a heuristic search with 1,000 bootstrap replicates in RAxML. The best-fit evolutionary model was determined using the Bayesian Information Criterion.

Results and Discussion

We analyzed nine proteins (A9L, A36R, A50L, B9R, B16L, C3L, C7L, C12L (SPI-1 and H5R) identified by Likos and collaborators in the two lineages/clades (B.1 and A.2) identified in the current outbreak and one lineage/clade (A1.1) identified in 2021 (https://nextstrain.org/monkeypox/hmpxv1). Five proteins are involved with either immune evasion or host range and the remaining four proteins are involved with various aspects of the viral life cycle in other poxviruses (Black et al., 1998; Legrand et al., 2004; Moon et al., 1999). We observed nucleotide substitutions in six of the nine genes analyzed. The nucleotide changes result in five missense mutations and four synonymous mutations. Some of these changes are within protein domains (table 01). Herein, we found in lineage/clade 2 the development of a signature amino acid sequence in position 442 (aspartic acid > asparagine) in A50L gene. Interestingly, when we evaluated the genomes of the current outbreak, we did not find the C3L gene. The vaccinia virus complements control protein is a 35-kDa protein that is encoded by the C3L gene and secreted by cells infected with the Vaccinia virus. Members of this family can block complement-mediated induction of the inflammatory response, and engulfment, killing and lysis of bacteria and viruses (Chen et al., 2005; Isaacs et al., 2003; Kotwal and Moss, 1988).

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Table 1:

Nucleotide changes between clades/lineages A.2 and B.1. was used 155 completes genomes 2022 outbreak. Gene homologs in Vaccinia virus strain Copenhagen (AY315828) are given for each gene as well as notes on proposed functions taken from annotation.

Orthopoxviruses produces two antigenically distinct infectious virions, intracellular mature virus (IMV) and extracellular enveloped virus (EEV). Structurally, EEV consists of an IMV with an additional outer membrane containing proteins that are absent from IMV. Due to their stability in the environment, IMVs play a predominant role in host-to-host transmission, whereas EEVs play an important role in dissemination within the host (Vanderplasschen et al., 1998). Additionally, we analyzed 4 genes used successfully in vaccine studies and important to the host’s immune response in the two antigenically distinct infectious virions. Hooper and collaborators reported that a gene-based vaccine comprised of the A27L and L1R proteins associated with IMV and, A33R and B5R proteins associated with EEV may be a useful candidates to protect against other orthopoxviruses, including those that cause smallpox and Monkeypox virus (Hooper et al., 2003). Again, we found lineage/clade A.1 signature amino acid in position 221 (proline > serine) for B5R protein (table 01). However, the remaining genes had no nucleotide changes. These data demonstrate that such proteins are attractive targets for future studies in vaccine production since only B5L had an amino acid substitution. Additionally, it has already been described that the combination of the four VACV genes (A27L + A33R + L1R + B5R) can provide an alternative vaccine for poxvirus, without the known side effects and serious adverse reactions.

The genomic surveillance has been vital to the early detection of mutations, monitoring of virus evolution and evaluating the degree of similarities between circulating. Molecular clock analyses assumed an evolutionary rate of 5 × 10−6 (Firth et al., 2010). These mutations arise as a natural by-product of viral replication. Our analyses suggest that lineage/clade A.2 may be suffering the different effects of various selective pressures than lineage/clade B.1. Some studies analyzing single genes or whole genomes have suggested a relation between lineage/clade with differences in the human monkeypox disease pathology. Combined, these observations propose that the effect of changes among a moderately small number of genes could account for the modifications in viral clearance and pathogenesis of human infections. (Esposito and Knight, 1985; Likos et al., 2005; Reed et al., 2004).

Therefore, with the emergence of new lineages/clades the evaluation of novel Monkeypox variants should include an assessment of the following questions: What effect do these mutations have on transmissibility and spread, antigenicity, aspects of pathogenesis, or virulence? Although it is not yet associated with genetic alterations, significant changes in the transmission route, mean age, signs/symptoms at the clinical presentation, and their evolution could be detected (Bragazzi et al., 2022; Patrocinio-Jesus and Peruzzu, 2022).

Regardless of why the mutations were selected, it is reasonable to expect that many mutations in these genes affect viral fitness. Sometimes a mutation that enhances one viral property, can reduce another property. Although most cases in current outbreaks have presented with mild disease symptoms, Monkeypox virus may cause severe disease in certain population groups as immunosuppressed persons, young children and pregnant women (Di Giulio and Eckburg, 2004). Even if there are few data linking pregnant women and the effects of human Monkeypox virus infection, there is evidence that viruses of the Orthopoxvirus genus are associated with an increased risk of maternal and perinatal morbidity and mortality (Dashraath et al., 2022; Khalil et al., 2022; Mbala et al., 2017). Understanding how virulence evolves after a virus jumps or adapts to a new host species is critical to the effective prevention and treatment of viral infections. Finally, it is possible that an increased understanding of virulence evolution drawn from a relevant data set (phylogenetics, epidemiology, and experimental studies of virus virulence and fitness) may contribute to new strategies for human monkeypox control and eradication.

Author Approvals

All authors critically reviewed the manuscript for intellectual content and approved it in its final version.

Declaration of Competing Interest

The authors report no declarations of interest.

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The emergence of new lineages of the Monkeypox virus could affect the 2022 outbreak
Mayla Abrahim, Alexandro Guterres, Patrícia Cristina da Costa Neves, Ana Paula Dinis Ano Bom
bioRxiv 2022.07.07.498743; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.07.07.498743
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The emergence of new lineages of the Monkeypox virus could affect the 2022 outbreak
Mayla Abrahim, Alexandro Guterres, Patrícia Cristina da Costa Neves, Ana Paula Dinis Ano Bom
bioRxiv 2022.07.07.498743; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.07.07.498743

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