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Phylogeographic reconstruction of the emergence and spread of Powassan virus in the northeastern United States

Chantal B.F. Vogels, Doug E. Brackney, Alan P. Dupuis II, Rebecca M. Robich, Joseph R. Fauver, Anderson F. Brito, Scott C. Williams, John F. Anderson, Charles B. Lubelczyk, Rachel E. Lange, Melissa A. Prusinski, Laura D. Kramer, Jody L. Gangloff-Kaufmann, Laura B. Goodman, Guy Baele, Robert P. Smith, Philip M. Armstrong, Alexander T. Ciota, View ORCID ProfileSimon Dellicour, Nathan D. Grubaugh
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.10.14.512245
Chantal B.F. Vogels
1Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA
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  • For correspondence: chantal.vogels@yale.edu
Doug E. Brackney
2Center for Vector Biology and Zoonotic Diseases, Department of Entomology, The Connecticut Agricultural Experiment Station, New Haven, CT, USA
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Alan P. Dupuis II
3The Arbovirus Laboratory, New York State Department of Health, Wadsworth Center, Slingerlands, NY, USA
4Department of Biomedical Sciences, State University of New York at Albany School of Public Health, Albany, NY, USA
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Rebecca M. Robich
5Vector-borne Disease Laboratory, MaineHealth Institute for Research, Scarborough, ME, USA
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Joseph R. Fauver
1Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA
6Department of Epidemiology, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE, USA
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Anderson F. Brito
1Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA
7Instituto Todos pela Saúde, São Paulo SP, Brazil
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Scott C. Williams
8Department of Environmental Science and Forestry, The Connecticut Agricultural Experiment Station, New Haven, CT, USA
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John F. Anderson
2Center for Vector Biology and Zoonotic Diseases, Department of Entomology, The Connecticut Agricultural Experiment Station, New Haven, CT, USA
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Charles B. Lubelczyk
5Vector-borne Disease Laboratory, MaineHealth Institute for Research, Scarborough, ME, USA
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Rachel E. Lange
3The Arbovirus Laboratory, New York State Department of Health, Wadsworth Center, Slingerlands, NY, USA
4Department of Biomedical Sciences, State University of New York at Albany School of Public Health, Albany, NY, USA
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Melissa A. Prusinski
9New York State Department of Health, Bureau of Communicable Disease Control, Albany, NY, USA
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Laura D. Kramer
3The Arbovirus Laboratory, New York State Department of Health, Wadsworth Center, Slingerlands, NY, USA
4Department of Biomedical Sciences, State University of New York at Albany School of Public Health, Albany, NY, USA
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Jody L. Gangloff-Kaufmann
10Department of Entomology, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA
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Laura B. Goodman
11Department of Public and Ecosystem Health, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA
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Guy Baele
12Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
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Robert P. Smith
5Vector-borne Disease Laboratory, MaineHealth Institute for Research, Scarborough, ME, USA
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Philip M. Armstrong
2Center for Vector Biology and Zoonotic Diseases, Department of Entomology, The Connecticut Agricultural Experiment Station, New Haven, CT, USA
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Alexander T. Ciota
3The Arbovirus Laboratory, New York State Department of Health, Wadsworth Center, Slingerlands, NY, USA
4Department of Biomedical Sciences, State University of New York at Albany School of Public Health, Albany, NY, USA
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Simon Dellicour
12Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
13Spatial Epidemiology Lab (SpELL), Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium
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  • For correspondence: chantal.vogels@yale.edu
Nathan D. Grubaugh
1Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA
14Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA
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  • For correspondence: chantal.vogels@yale.edu
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Abstract

Powassan virus is an emerging tick-borne virus of concern for public health, but very little is known about its transmission patterns and ecology. Here, we expanded the genomic dataset by sequencing 279 Powassan viruses isolated from Ixodes scapularis ticks from the northeastern United States. Our phylogenetic and phylogeographic reconstructions revealed that Powassan virus lineage II was likely introduced or emerged from a relict population in the Northeast between 1940-1975. Sequences strongly clustered by sampling location, suggesting a highly focal geographical distribution. Our analyses further indicated that Powassan virus lineage II emerged in the northeastern U.S. mostly following a south to north pattern, with a weighted lineage dispersal velocity of ~3 km/year. Since the emergence in the Northeast, we found an overall increase in the effective population size of Powassan virus lineage II, but with growth stagnating during recent years. The cascading effect of population expansion of white-tailed deer and I. scapularis populations likely facilitated the emergence of Powassan virus in the northeastern U.S.

Competing Interest Statement

NDG is a consultant for Tempus Labs and the National Basketball Association for work related to COVID-19. All other authors declare no competing interests.

Copyright 
The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license.
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Posted October 17, 2022.
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Phylogeographic reconstruction of the emergence and spread of Powassan virus in the northeastern United States
Chantal B.F. Vogels, Doug E. Brackney, Alan P. Dupuis II, Rebecca M. Robich, Joseph R. Fauver, Anderson F. Brito, Scott C. Williams, John F. Anderson, Charles B. Lubelczyk, Rachel E. Lange, Melissa A. Prusinski, Laura D. Kramer, Jody L. Gangloff-Kaufmann, Laura B. Goodman, Guy Baele, Robert P. Smith, Philip M. Armstrong, Alexander T. Ciota, Simon Dellicour, Nathan D. Grubaugh
bioRxiv 2022.10.14.512245; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.10.14.512245
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Phylogeographic reconstruction of the emergence and spread of Powassan virus in the northeastern United States
Chantal B.F. Vogels, Doug E. Brackney, Alan P. Dupuis II, Rebecca M. Robich, Joseph R. Fauver, Anderson F. Brito, Scott C. Williams, John F. Anderson, Charles B. Lubelczyk, Rachel E. Lange, Melissa A. Prusinski, Laura D. Kramer, Jody L. Gangloff-Kaufmann, Laura B. Goodman, Guy Baele, Robert P. Smith, Philip M. Armstrong, Alexander T. Ciota, Simon Dellicour, Nathan D. Grubaugh
bioRxiv 2022.10.14.512245; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.10.14.512245

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