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A cautionary note on quantitative measures of phenotypic convergence

View ORCID ProfileDavid M. Grossnickle, View ORCID ProfileWilliam H. Brightly, View ORCID ProfileLucas N. Weaver, View ORCID ProfileKathryn E. Stanchak, View ORCID ProfileRachel A. Roston, View ORCID ProfileSpencer K. Pevsner, C. Tristan Stayton, View ORCID ProfileP. David Polly, View ORCID ProfileChris J. Law
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.10.18.512739
David M. Grossnickle
1University of Washington, Department of Biology
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  • For correspondence: dmgrossn@uw.edu
William H. Brightly
1University of Washington, Department of Biology
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Lucas N. Weaver
2University of Michigan, Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology and Museum of Paleontology
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  • ORCID record for Lucas N. Weaver
Kathryn E. Stanchak
1University of Washington, Department of Biology
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Rachel A. Roston
3University of Washington, School of Dentistry, Department of Oral Health Sciences
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Spencer K. Pevsner
4University of Oxford, Department of Earth Sciences
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C. Tristan Stayton
5Bucknell University, Department of Biology
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P. David Polly
6Indiana University, Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences
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Chris J. Law
7University of Texas, Austin, Department of Integrative Biology
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ABSTRACT

Tests of phenotypic convergence can provide evidence of adaptive evolution, and the popularity of such studies has grown in recent years due to the development of novel, quantitative methods for identifying and/or measuring convergence. Two commonly used methods include (i) ‘distance-based’ methods that measure morphological distances between lineages in phylomorphospace and (ii) fitting evolutionary models to morphological datasets to test whether lineages have evolved toward adaptive peaks. Here, we demonstrate that both types of convergence measures are influenced by the position of putatively convergent taxa in morphospace such that morphological outliers are statistically more likely to exhibit convergence by chance. A more substantial issue is that some methods will often misidentify divergent lineages as being convergent. These issues likely influence the results of many studies, especially those that focus on morphological outliers. To help address these problems, we developed a new distance-based method for measuring convergence that incorporates distances between lineages through time and minimizes the possibility of divergent taxa being misidentified as convergent. We advocate the use of this method when the phylogenetic tips of putatively convergent lineages are of the same or similar geologic ages (e.g., extant taxa), meaning that convergence among the lineages is expected to be synchronous. We conclude by emphasizing that all available convergence measures are imperfect, and researchers should recognize the limitations of these methods and use multiple lines of evidence when inferring and measuring convergence.

Competing Interest Statement

The authors have declared no competing interest.

Copyright 
The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license.
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Posted October 21, 2022.
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A cautionary note on quantitative measures of phenotypic convergence
David M. Grossnickle, William H. Brightly, Lucas N. Weaver, Kathryn E. Stanchak, Rachel A. Roston, Spencer K. Pevsner, C. Tristan Stayton, P. David Polly, Chris J. Law
bioRxiv 2022.10.18.512739; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.10.18.512739
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A cautionary note on quantitative measures of phenotypic convergence
David M. Grossnickle, William H. Brightly, Lucas N. Weaver, Kathryn E. Stanchak, Rachel A. Roston, Spencer K. Pevsner, C. Tristan Stayton, P. David Polly, Chris J. Law
bioRxiv 2022.10.18.512739; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.10.18.512739

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