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Polygenic Prediction of Molecular Traits using Large-Scale Meta-analysis Summary Statistics

View ORCID ProfileOliver Pain, Zachary Gerring, Eske Derks, View ORCID ProfileNaomi R. Wray, Alexander Gusev, View ORCID ProfileAmmar Al-Chalabi
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.11.23.517213
Oliver Pain
1Maurice Wohl Clinical Neuroscience Institute, Department of Basic and Clinical Neuroscience, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King’s College London, London, United Kingdom
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  • For correspondence: oliver.pain@kcl.ac.uk
Zachary Gerring
2Translational Neurogenomics Laboratory, QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute, 300 Herston Road, Herston, Brisbane, QLD, 4006, Australia
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Eske Derks
2Translational Neurogenomics Laboratory, QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute, 300 Herston Road, Herston, Brisbane, QLD, 4006, Australia
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Naomi R. Wray
3Institute for Molecular Bioscience, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
4Queensland Brain Institute, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
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Alexander Gusev
5Department of Medical Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA, USA
6The Eli and Edythe L. Broad Institute, Cambridge, MA, USA
7Division of Genetics, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
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Ammar Al-Chalabi
1Maurice Wohl Clinical Neuroscience Institute, Department of Basic and Clinical Neuroscience, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King’s College London, London, United Kingdom
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Abstract

Introduction Transcriptome-wide association study (TWAS) integrates expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) data with genome-wide association study (GWAS) results to infer differential expression. TWAS uses multi-variant models trained using individual-level genotype-expression datasets, but methodological development is required for TWAS to utilise larger eQTL summary statistics.

Methods TWAS models predicting gene expression were derived using blood-based eQTL summary statistics from eQTLGen, the Young Finns Study (YFS), and MetaBrain. Summary statistic polygenic scoring methods were used to derive TWAS models, evaluating their predictive utility in GTEx v8. We investigated gene inclusion criteria and omnibus tests for aggregating TWAS associations for a given gene. We performed a schizophrenia TWAS using summary statistic-based TWAS models, comparing results to existing resources and methods.

Results TWAS models derived using eQTL summary statistics performed comparably to models derived using individual-level data. Multi-variant TWAS models significantly improved prediction over single variant models for 8.6% of genes. TWAS models derived using eQTLGen summary statistics significantly improved prediction over models derived using a smaller individual-level dataset. The eQTLGen-based schizophrenia TWAS, using the ACAT omnibus test to aggregate associations for each gene, identified novel significant and colocalised associations compared to summary-based mendelian randomisation (SMR) and SMR-multi.

Conclusions Using multi-variant TWAS models and larger eQTL summary statistic datasets can improve power to detect differential expression associations. We provide TWAS models based on eQTLGen and MetaBrain summary statistics, and software to easily derive and apply summary statistic-based TWAS models based on eQTL and other molecular QTL datasets released in the future.

Competing Interest Statement

The authors have declared no competing interest.

Copyright 
The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY 4.0 International license.
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Posted November 25, 2022.
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Polygenic Prediction of Molecular Traits using Large-Scale Meta-analysis Summary Statistics
Oliver Pain, Zachary Gerring, Eske Derks, Naomi R. Wray, Alexander Gusev, Ammar Al-Chalabi
bioRxiv 2022.11.23.517213; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.11.23.517213
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Polygenic Prediction of Molecular Traits using Large-Scale Meta-analysis Summary Statistics
Oliver Pain, Zachary Gerring, Eske Derks, Naomi R. Wray, Alexander Gusev, Ammar Al-Chalabi
bioRxiv 2022.11.23.517213; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.11.23.517213

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