Abstract
In 2022, we have elucidated the characteristics of a variety of newly emerging SARS-CoV-2 Omicron subvariants. At the end of 2022, the XBB.1.5 variant, an descendant of XBB.1 that acquired the S:F486P substitution, emerged and is rapidly spreading in the USA and is the latest variant of concern. Although the features of XBB.1.5 was already reported by another group as a preprint, we think multiple and independent evaluations important, and these reports are crucial for sustained global health. In this study, our epidemic dynamics analysis revealed that the relative effective reproduction number (Re) of XBB.1.5 is more than 1.2-fold greater than that of the parental XBB.1, and XBB.1.5 is outcompeting BQ.1.1, the predominant lineage in the USA as of December 2022. Our data suggest that XBB.1.5 will rapidly spread worldwide in the near future. Yeast surface display assay and pseudovirus assay respectively showed that the ACE2 binding affinity and infectivity of XBB.1.5 is 4.3-fold and 3.3-fold higher than those of XBB.1, respectively. Moreover, neutralization assay revealed that XBB.1.5 is robustly resistant to BA.2 breakthrough infection sera (41-fold versus B.1.1, 20-fold versus BA.2) and BA.5 breakthrough infection sera (32-fold versus B.1.1, 9.5-fold versus BA.5), respectively. Because the immune resistance of XBB.1.5 is comparable to that of XBB.1, our results suggest that XBB.1.5 is the most successful XBB lineage as of January 2023 by acquiring the S:F486P substitution to augment ACE2 binding affinity without losing remarkable immune resistance, which leads to greater transmissibility.
Competing Interest Statement
The authors have declared no competing interest.
Footnotes
Conflict of interest: The authors declare that no competing interests exist.
