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The distribution of global tidal marshes from earth observation data

View ORCID ProfileThomas A. Worthington, Mark Spalding, Emily Landis, Tania L. Maxwell, Alejandro Navarro, Lindsey S. Smart, Nicholas J. Murray
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2023.05.26.542433
Thomas A. Worthington
1Conservation Science Group, Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 3QZ, UK
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  • For correspondence: taw52@cam.ac.uk
Mark Spalding
1Conservation Science Group, Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 3QZ, UK
2The Nature Conservancy, Department of Physical, Earth, and Environmental Sciences, University of Siena, Pian dei Mantellini, Siena 53100, Italy
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Emily Landis
3The Nature Conservancy, 4245 Fairfax Avenue, Suite 100, Arlington, VA 22203-1606, USA
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Tania L. Maxwell
1Conservation Science Group, Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 3QZ, UK
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Alejandro Navarro
4College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Townsville, QLD 4811, Australia
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Lindsey S. Smart
3The Nature Conservancy, 4245 Fairfax Avenue, Suite 100, Arlington, VA 22203-1606, USA
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Nicholas J. Murray
4College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Townsville, QLD 4811, Australia
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ABSTRACT

Aim Tidal marsh ecosystems are heavily impacted by human activities, highlighting a pressing need to address gaps in our knowledge of their distribution. To better understand the global distribution and changes in tidal marsh extent, and identify opportunities for their conservation and restoration, it is critical to develop a spatial knowledge base of their global occurrence. Here, we develop a globally consistent tidal marsh distribution map for the year 2020 at 10-m resolution.

Location Global

Time period 2020

Major taxa studied Tidal marshes

Methods To map the location of the world’s tidal marshes we applied a random forest classification model to earth observation data from the year 2020. We trained the classification model with a reference dataset developed to support distribution mapping of coastal ecosystems, and predicted the spatial distribution of tidal marshes between 60°N to 60°S. We validated the tidal marsh map using standard accuracy assessment methods, with our final map having an overall accuracy score of 0.852.

Results We estimate the global extent of tidal marshes in 2020 to be 52,880 km2 (95% CI: 32,030 to 59,780 km2) distributed across 120 countries and territories. Tidal marsh distribution is centred in temperate and Arctic regions, with nearly half of the global extent of tidal marshes occurring in the temperate Northern Atlantic (45%) region. At the national scale, over a third of the global extent (18,510 km2; CI: 11,200 – 20,900) occurs within the USA.

Main conclusions Our analysis provides the most detailed spatial data on global tidal marsh distribution to date and shows that tidal marshes occur in more countries and across a greater proportion of the world’s coastline than previous mapping studies. Our map fills a major knowledge gap regarding the distribution of the world’s coastal ecosystems and provides the baseline needed for measuring changes in tidal marsh extent and estimating their value in terms of ecosystem services

Competing Interest Statement

The authors have declared no competing interest.

Copyright 
The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY 4.0 International license.
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Posted May 28, 2023.
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The distribution of global tidal marshes from earth observation data
Thomas A. Worthington, Mark Spalding, Emily Landis, Tania L. Maxwell, Alejandro Navarro, Lindsey S. Smart, Nicholas J. Murray
bioRxiv 2023.05.26.542433; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2023.05.26.542433
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The distribution of global tidal marshes from earth observation data
Thomas A. Worthington, Mark Spalding, Emily Landis, Tania L. Maxwell, Alejandro Navarro, Lindsey S. Smart, Nicholas J. Murray
bioRxiv 2023.05.26.542433; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2023.05.26.542433

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