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Guiding Vaccine Efficacy Trial Design During Public Health Emergencies: An interactive web-based decision support tool

View ORCID ProfileSteven E. Bellan, View ORCID ProfileRosalind M Eggo, View ORCID ProfilePierre-Stéphane Gsell, View ORCID ProfileAdam J Kucharski, View ORCID ProfileNatalie E Dean, Richard Donohue, Matt Zook, View ORCID ProfileFrank Odhiambo, View ORCID ProfileIra Longini, View ORCID ProfileMarc Brisson, Barbara E Mahon, View ORCID ProfileAna Maria Henao-Restrepo
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/252783
Steven E. Bellan
1Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia, USA
2Center for Ecology of Infectious Diseases, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia, USA
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  • For correspondence: steve.bellan@uga.edu
Rosalind M Eggo
3Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
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Pierre-Stéphane Gsell
4World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
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Adam J Kucharski
3Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
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Natalie E Dean
5Department of Biostatistics, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA
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Richard Donohue
6Department of Geography, University of Kentucky, Lexington KY, USA
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Matt Zook
6Department of Geography, University of Kentucky, Lexington KY, USA
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Frank Odhiambo
7Kenya Medical Research Institute, Centre for Vector Biology and Control Research, Kisumu, Kenya
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Ira Longini
5Department of Biostatistics, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA
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Marc Brisson
8Centre de recherche du CHU de Québec, Québec, Canada
9Département de médecine sociale et préventive, Université Laval, Québec, Canada
10Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College, London, UK
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Barbara E Mahon
11US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
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Ana Maria Henao-Restrepo
4World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
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Abstract

The design and execution of rigorous, fast, and ethical vaccine efficacy trials can be challenging during epidemics of emerging pathogens, such as the 2014-2016 Ebola virus and 2015-2016 Zika virus epidemics. Response to an urgent public health crisis requires accelerated research even as emerging epidemics themselves change rapidly and are inherently less well understood than well-established diseases. As part of the World Health Organization Research and Development Blueprint, we designed a web-based interactive decision support system (InterVax-Tool) to help diverse stakeholders navigate the epidemiological, logistical, and ethical decisions involved in designing a vaccine efficacy trial during a public health emergency. In contrast to existing literature on trial design, InterVax-Tool offers high-level visual and interactive assistance through a set of four decision trees, guiding users through selection of 1) the Primary Endpoint, (2) the Target Population, (3) Randomization, and (4) the Comparator. Guidance is provided on how each of fourteen key considerations–grouped as Epidemiological, Vaccine-related, Infrastructural, or Sociocultural–should be used to inform each decision in the trial design process. The tool is not intended to provide a black box decision framework for identifying an optimal trial design, but rather to facilitate transparent, collaborative and comprehensive discussion of the relevant decisions, while recording the decision process. The tool can also assist capacity building by providing a cross-disciplinary picture of trial design using concepts from epidemiology, study design, vaccinology, biostatistics, mathematical modeling and clinical research ethics. Here, we describe the goals and features of InterVax-Tool as well as its application to the design of a Zika vaccine efficacy trial.

One Sentence Summary An interactive web-based decision support tool was developed to assist in the design of vaccine efficacy trials during emerging outbreaks.

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The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY-NC 4.0 International license.
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Posted January 24, 2018.
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Guiding Vaccine Efficacy Trial Design During Public Health Emergencies: An interactive web-based decision support tool
Steven E. Bellan, Rosalind M Eggo, Pierre-Stéphane Gsell, Adam J Kucharski, Natalie E Dean, Richard Donohue, Matt Zook, Frank Odhiambo, Ira Longini, Marc Brisson, Barbara E Mahon, Ana Maria Henao-Restrepo
bioRxiv 252783; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/252783
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Guiding Vaccine Efficacy Trial Design During Public Health Emergencies: An interactive web-based decision support tool
Steven E. Bellan, Rosalind M Eggo, Pierre-Stéphane Gsell, Adam J Kucharski, Natalie E Dean, Richard Donohue, Matt Zook, Frank Odhiambo, Ira Longini, Marc Brisson, Barbara E Mahon, Ana Maria Henao-Restrepo
bioRxiv 252783; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/252783

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