Skip to main content
bioRxiv
  • Home
  • About
  • Submit
  • ALERTS / RSS
Advanced Search
New Results

Complex responses of global insect pests to climate change

View ORCID ProfilePhilipp Lehmann, Tea Ammunét, Madeleine Barton, Andrea Battisti, Sanford D. Eigenbrode, Jane Uhd Jepsen, Gregor Kalinkat, Seppo Neuvonen, Pekka Niemelä, Bjørn Økland, John S. Terblanche, Christer Björkman
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/425488
Philipp Lehmann
1Department of Zoology, Stockholm University, Sweden.
2Centre of Excellence in Biological Interactions Research, Department of Biological and Environmental Science, University of Jyväskylä, Finland.
4Centre for Invasion Biology, Department of Conservation Ecology and Entomology, Stellenbosch University, South Africa.
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
  • ORCID record for Philipp Lehmann
  • For correspondence: philipp.lehmann@zoologi.su.se
Tea Ammunét
3Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Sweden.
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Madeleine Barton
4Centre for Invasion Biology, Department of Conservation Ecology and Entomology, Stellenbosch University, South Africa.
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Andrea Battisti
5Department of Agronomy, Food, Natural Resources, Animals and the Environment, University of Padova, Italy.
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Sanford D. Eigenbrode
6Department of Plant, Soil and Entomological Sciences, University of Idaho, United States of America.
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Jane Uhd Jepsen
7Department of Arctic Ecology, Norwegian Institute for Nature Research, Norway.
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Gregor Kalinkat
8Department of Ecosystem Research, Leibniz-Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries, Germany.
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Seppo Neuvonen
9Kevo Subarctic Research Institute, University of Turku.
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Pekka Niemelä
10Biodiversity Unit, University of Turku, Finland.
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Bjørn Økland
11Norwegian Institute of Bioeconomy Research, Norway.
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
John S. Terblanche
4Centre for Invasion Biology, Department of Conservation Ecology and Entomology, Stellenbosch University, South Africa.
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Christer Björkman
3Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Sweden.
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
  • Abstract
  • Full Text
  • Info/History
  • Metrics
  • Preview PDF
Loading

Abstract

Insect pests strongly affect the productivity and profitability of agriculture and forestry. Despite the well-known sensitivity of insects to abiotic effects such as temperature, their potential responses to ongoing climate change remain unclear. Here we compile and review documented climate change responses of 31 of the globally most impactful phytophagous insect pests, focussing on species for which long-term, high-quality data are available. Most of the selected species show at least one response affecting their severity as pests, including changes in geographic range, population dynamics, life-history traits, and/or trophic interactions. Of the studied pests, 41% only show responses that are linked to increased pest severity, 4% only show responses of decreased severity, whereas importantly 55%, the majority of studied pests, show mixed responses including both increased and decreased severity under ongoing climate change. Variability in impact is further supported by a thermal sensitivity analysis showing little benefit of climate warming in relation to the optimal developmental temperatures for the majority of these pests under both current climate and future projections. Overall the results show that calculating the net effect of climate change on phytophagous insect pest impact is far from straightforward. The documented variation in responses, e.g. between agricultural and forest pests, indicates that efforts to mitigate undesirable climate change effects must target individual species, taking into account the complex ecological and evolutionary mechanisms underlying their responses.

Footnotes

  • ↵† Contributing authors listed alphabetically.

Copyright 
The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
Back to top
PreviousNext
Posted October 29, 2018.
Download PDF
Email

Thank you for your interest in spreading the word about bioRxiv.

NOTE: Your email address is requested solely to identify you as the sender of this article.

Enter multiple addresses on separate lines or separate them with commas.
Complex responses of global insect pests to climate change
(Your Name) has forwarded a page to you from bioRxiv
(Your Name) thought you would like to see this page from the bioRxiv website.
CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether or not you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.
Share
Complex responses of global insect pests to climate change
Philipp Lehmann, Tea Ammunét, Madeleine Barton, Andrea Battisti, Sanford D. Eigenbrode, Jane Uhd Jepsen, Gregor Kalinkat, Seppo Neuvonen, Pekka Niemelä, Bjørn Økland, John S. Terblanche, Christer Björkman
bioRxiv 425488; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/425488
Digg logo Reddit logo Twitter logo Facebook logo Google logo LinkedIn logo Mendeley logo
Citation Tools
Complex responses of global insect pests to climate change
Philipp Lehmann, Tea Ammunét, Madeleine Barton, Andrea Battisti, Sanford D. Eigenbrode, Jane Uhd Jepsen, Gregor Kalinkat, Seppo Neuvonen, Pekka Niemelä, Bjørn Økland, John S. Terblanche, Christer Björkman
bioRxiv 425488; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/425488

Citation Manager Formats

  • BibTeX
  • Bookends
  • EasyBib
  • EndNote (tagged)
  • EndNote 8 (xml)
  • Medlars
  • Mendeley
  • Papers
  • RefWorks Tagged
  • Ref Manager
  • RIS
  • Zotero
  • Tweet Widget
  • Facebook Like
  • Google Plus One

Subject Area

  • Ecology
Subject Areas
All Articles
  • Animal Behavior and Cognition (3477)
  • Biochemistry (7316)
  • Bioengineering (5294)
  • Bioinformatics (20189)
  • Biophysics (9972)
  • Cancer Biology (7698)
  • Cell Biology (11243)
  • Clinical Trials (138)
  • Developmental Biology (6416)
  • Ecology (9912)
  • Epidemiology (2065)
  • Evolutionary Biology (13271)
  • Genetics (9347)
  • Genomics (12544)
  • Immunology (7667)
  • Microbiology (18928)
  • Molecular Biology (7415)
  • Neuroscience (40870)
  • Paleontology (298)
  • Pathology (1226)
  • Pharmacology and Toxicology (2125)
  • Physiology (3138)
  • Plant Biology (6836)
  • Scientific Communication and Education (1268)
  • Synthetic Biology (1891)
  • Systems Biology (5295)
  • Zoology (1083)