Skip to main content
bioRxiv
  • Home
  • About
  • Submit
  • ALERTS / RSS
Advanced Search
New Results

Mapping human pressures across the planet uncovers anthropogenic threat complexes

D.E. Bowler, A.D. Bjorkman, M. Dornelas, I.H. Myers-Smith, L. M. Navarro, A. Niamir, S.R. Supp, C. Waldock, M. Vellend, S. A. Blowes, K. Böhning-Gaese, H. Bruelheide, R. Elahi, L.H. Antão, J. Hines, F. Isbell, H.P. Jones, A.E. Magurran, J. S. Cabral, M. Winter, A.E. Bates
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/432880
D.E. Bowler
1Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre, Senckenberganlage 25, D-60325 Frankfurt am Main, Germany
2German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Deutscher Platz 5e, 04103 Leipzig, Germany
3Institute of Biodiversity, Friedrich Schiller University Jena, Dornburger Straße 159, 07743 Jena, Germany
4UFZ – Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Department of Ecosystem Services, Permoserstr. 15, 04318 Leipzig, Germany
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
  • For correspondence: diana.e.bowler@gmail.com
A.D. Bjorkman
5Section for Ecoinformatics & Biodiversity, Department of Bioscience, Aarhus University, DK-8000 Aarhus, Denmark
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
M. Dornelas
6Centre for Biological Diversity, University of St Andrews, Sir Harold Mitchell Building, St Andrews, KY16 9TH Scotland, UK
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
I.H. Myers-Smith
7School of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH9 3FF, UK
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
L. M. Navarro
2German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Deutscher Platz 5e, 04103 Leipzig, Germany
8Institute of Biology/Geobotany and Botanical Garden, Martin Luther University Halle–Wittenberg, Am Kirchtor 1, 06108 Halle, Germany
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
A. Niamir
1Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre, Senckenberganlage 25, D-60325 Frankfurt am Main, Germany
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
S.R. Supp
9Denison University, Data Analytics Program, Granville, OH 43023 USA
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
C. Waldock
10Ocean and Earth Science, National Oceanography Centre Southampton, University of Southampton, Waterfront Campus, European Way, Southampton, SO14 3ZH, United Kingdom
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
M. Vellend
11Université de Sherbrooke, Sherbrooke, QC Canada J1K 2R1
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
S. A. Blowes
2German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Deutscher Platz 5e, 04103 Leipzig, Germany
12Department of Zoology, George S. Wise Faculty of Life Sciences, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv 69978, Israel
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
K. Böhning-Gaese
1Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre, Senckenberganlage 25, D-60325 Frankfurt am Main, Germany
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
H. Bruelheide
8Institute of Biology/Geobotany and Botanical Garden, Martin Luther University Halle–Wittenberg, Am Kirchtor 1, 06108 Halle, Germany
2German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Deutscher Platz 5e, 04103 Leipzig, Germany
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
R. Elahi
13Hopkins Marine Station, Stanford University, Pacific Grove, CA 93950, USA
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
L.H. Antão
6Centre for Biological Diversity, University of St Andrews, Sir Harold Mitchell Building, St Andrews, KY16 9TH Scotland, UK
14Department of Biology and CESAM, Universidade de Aveiro, Campus Universitário de Santiago, 3810-193, Aveiro, Portugal
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
J. Hines
2German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Deutscher Platz 5e, 04103 Leipzig, Germany
15Institute of Biology, Leipzig University, Deutscher Platz 5e, 04103 Leipzig, Germany
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
F. Isbell
16Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota Twin Cities, Saint Paul, Minnesota 55108, USA
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
H.P. Jones
17Department of Biological Sciences and Institute for the Study of the Environment, Sustainability, and Energy. Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL 60115, USA
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
A.E. Magurran
6Centre for Biological Diversity, University of St Andrews, Sir Harold Mitchell Building, St Andrews, KY16 9TH Scotland, UK
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
J. S. Cabral
2German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Deutscher Platz 5e, 04103 Leipzig, Germany
18Ecosystem Modeling, Centre for Computational and Theoretical Biology, University of Würzburg, Würzburg, Germany
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
M. Winter
2German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Deutscher Platz 5e, 04103 Leipzig, Germany
19Leipzig University, Ritterstraße, 26, 04109 Leipzig, Germany
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
A.E. Bates
10Ocean and Earth Science, National Oceanography Centre Southampton, University of Southampton, Waterfront Campus, European Way, Southampton, SO14 3ZH, United Kingdom
20Department of Ocean Sciences, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John’s A1C 5S7, Canada
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
  • Abstract
  • Full Text
  • Info/History
  • Metrics
  • Supplementary material
  • Preview PDF
Loading

Abstract

  1. Climate change and other anthropogenic drivers of biodiversity change are unequally distributed across the world. Overlap in the distributions of different drivers have important implications for biodiversity change attribution and the potential for interactive effects. However, the spatial relationships among different drivers, and whether they differ between the terrestrial and marine realm has yet to be examined.

  2. We compiled global gridded datasets on climate change, land-use, resource exploitation, pollution, alien species potential, and human population density. We used multivariate statistics to examine the spatial relationships amongst the drivers and to characterize the typical combinations of drivers experienced by different regions of the world.

  3. We found stronger positive correlations among drivers in the terrestrial than in the marine realm, leading to areas with high intensities of multiple drivers on land. Climate change tended to be negatively correlated with other drivers in the terrestrial realm (e.g., in the tundra and boreal forest with high climate change but low human use and pollution), whereas the opposite was true in the marine realm (e.g., in the Indo-Pacific with high climate change and high fishing).

  4. We show that different regions of the world can be defined by anthropogenic threat complexes (ATCs), distinguished by different sets of drivers with varying intensities. The ATCs can be used to test hypotheses about patterns of biodiversity change, especially in response to the joint effects of multiple drivers. More generally, our global analysis highlights the broad conservation priorities needed to mitigate the impacts of anthropogenic change, with different priorities emerging on land and in the ocean, and in different parts of the world.

Copyright 
The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license.
Back to top
PreviousNext
Posted July 09, 2019.
Download PDF

Supplementary Material

Email

Thank you for your interest in spreading the word about bioRxiv.

NOTE: Your email address is requested solely to identify you as the sender of this article.

Enter multiple addresses on separate lines or separate them with commas.
Mapping human pressures across the planet uncovers anthropogenic threat complexes
(Your Name) has forwarded a page to you from bioRxiv
(Your Name) thought you would like to see this page from the bioRxiv website.
CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether or not you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.
Share
Mapping human pressures across the planet uncovers anthropogenic threat complexes
D.E. Bowler, A.D. Bjorkman, M. Dornelas, I.H. Myers-Smith, L. M. Navarro, A. Niamir, S.R. Supp, C. Waldock, M. Vellend, S. A. Blowes, K. Böhning-Gaese, H. Bruelheide, R. Elahi, L.H. Antão, J. Hines, F. Isbell, H.P. Jones, A.E. Magurran, J. S. Cabral, M. Winter, A.E. Bates
bioRxiv 432880; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/432880
Digg logo Reddit logo Twitter logo CiteULike logo Facebook logo Google logo Mendeley logo
Citation Tools
Mapping human pressures across the planet uncovers anthropogenic threat complexes
D.E. Bowler, A.D. Bjorkman, M. Dornelas, I.H. Myers-Smith, L. M. Navarro, A. Niamir, S.R. Supp, C. Waldock, M. Vellend, S. A. Blowes, K. Böhning-Gaese, H. Bruelheide, R. Elahi, L.H. Antão, J. Hines, F. Isbell, H.P. Jones, A.E. Magurran, J. S. Cabral, M. Winter, A.E. Bates
bioRxiv 432880; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/432880

Citation Manager Formats

  • BibTeX
  • Bookends
  • EasyBib
  • EndNote (tagged)
  • EndNote 8 (xml)
  • Medlars
  • Mendeley
  • Papers
  • RefWorks Tagged
  • Ref Manager
  • RIS
  • Zotero
  • Tweet Widget
  • Facebook Like
  • Google Plus One

Subject Area

  • Ecology
Subject Areas
All Articles
  • Animal Behavior and Cognition (2409)
  • Biochemistry (4757)
  • Bioengineering (3299)
  • Bioinformatics (14579)
  • Biophysics (6588)
  • Cancer Biology (5128)
  • Cell Biology (7376)
  • Clinical Trials (138)
  • Developmental Biology (4315)
  • Ecology (6821)
  • Epidemiology (2057)
  • Evolutionary Biology (9838)
  • Genetics (7308)
  • Genomics (9467)
  • Immunology (4506)
  • Microbiology (12587)
  • Molecular Biology (4901)
  • Neuroscience (28096)
  • Paleontology (198)
  • Pathology (799)
  • Pharmacology and Toxicology (1372)
  • Physiology (1993)
  • Plant Biology (4449)
  • Scientific Communication and Education (966)
  • Synthetic Biology (1293)
  • Systems Biology (3891)
  • Zoology (717)