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Ecosystem tipping points in an evolving world

View ORCID ProfileVasilis Dakos, View ORCID ProfileBlake Matthews, View ORCID ProfileAndrew Hendry, Jonathan Levine, Nicolas Loeuille, Jon Norberg, Patrik Nosil, Marten Scheffer, Luc De Meester
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/447227
Vasilis Dakos
1Institute des Sciences de l’Evolution, Université de Montpellier, CNRS, IRD, EPHE, Montpellier, France
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Blake Matthews
2Eawag, Department of Aquatic Ecology, Center for Ecology, Evolution and Biogeochemistry, Switzerland
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Andrew Hendry
3Redpath Museum & Dept. of Biology, McGill University, 859 Sherbrooke St. W, Montreal, QC H3A 0C4, Canada
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Jonathan Levine
4Institute of Integrative Biology, ETH Zurich, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland
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Nicolas Loeuille
5Sorbonne Université, UPMC Univ Paris 06, CNRS, IRD, INRA, Université Paris Diderot, Institute of Ecology and Environmental Sciences (UMR7618), 7 quai St Bernard, Paris 75005, France
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Jon Norberg
6Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
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Patrik Nosil
7Department of Animal and Plant Sciences, University of Sheffield, UK
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Marten Scheffer
8Department of Environmental Sciences, Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Wageningen University Wageningen, The Netherlands
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Luc De Meester
9Laboratory of Aquatic Ecology, Evolution and Conservation, KU Leuven, Deberiotstraat 32, B-3000 Leuven, Belgium
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Abstract

There is growing concern over tipping points arising in ecosystems due to the crossing of environmental thresholds. Tipping points lead to strong and possibly irreversible shifts between alternative ecosystem states incurring high societal costs. Traits are central to the feedbacks that maintain alternative ecosystem states, as they govern the responses of populations to environmental change that could stabilize or destabilize ecosystem states. However, we know little about how evolutionary changes in trait distributions over time affect the occurrence of tipping points, and even less about how big scale ecological shifts reciprocally interact with trait dynamics. We argue that interactions between ecological and evolutionary processes should be taken into account for understanding the balance of feedbacks governing tipping points in nature.

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The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY-NC 4.0 International license.
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Posted October 24, 2018.
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Ecosystem tipping points in an evolving world
Vasilis Dakos, Blake Matthews, Andrew Hendry, Jonathan Levine, Nicolas Loeuille, Jon Norberg, Patrik Nosil, Marten Scheffer, Luc De Meester
bioRxiv 447227; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/447227
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Ecosystem tipping points in an evolving world
Vasilis Dakos, Blake Matthews, Andrew Hendry, Jonathan Levine, Nicolas Loeuille, Jon Norberg, Patrik Nosil, Marten Scheffer, Luc De Meester
bioRxiv 447227; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/447227

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