Skip to main content
bioRxiv
  • Home
  • About
  • Submit
  • ALERTS / RSS
Advanced Search
New Results

‘Tree demographic performance of European tree species at their hot and cold edges.’

View ORCID ProfileGeorges Kunstler, Arnaud Guyennon, Sophia Ratcliffe, Nadja Rüger, Paloma Ruiz-Benito, Dylan Z. Childs, Jonas Dahlgren, Aleksi Lehtonen, Wilfried Thuiller, Christian Wirth, Miguel A. Zavala, Roberto Salguero-Gomez
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/801084
Georges Kunstler
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, Irstea, UR LESSEM, 38000 Grenoble, France
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
  • ORCID record for Georges Kunstler
  • For correspondence: georges.kunstler@irstea.fr
Arnaud Guyennon
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, Irstea, UR LESSEM, 38000 Grenoble, France
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Sophia Ratcliffe
Department of Systematic Botany and Functional Biodiversity, University of Leipzig, Johannisallee 21-23, 04103 Leipzig, GermanyNBN Trust, 14-18 St. Mary’s Gate, Lace Market, Nottingham NG1 1PF, UK
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Nadja Rüger
German Centre for Integrative Bio-diversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Deutscher Platz 5e, 04103 Leipzig, GermanySmithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Apartado 0843-03092, Balboa, Ancón, Panama
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Paloma Ruiz-Benito
Departamento de Biologia y Geologia, Fisica y Quimica Inorganica, Escuela Superior de Ciencias Experimentales y Tecnologia, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, Tulipan, 28933, Mostoles (Madrid), SpainGrupo de Ecologia y Restauracion Forestal, Departamento de Ciencias de la Vida, Universidad de Alcala, Edificio de Ciencias, Campus Universitario, 28805 Alcala de Henares, Madrid, Spain
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Dylan Z. Childs
Department of Animal & Plant Sciences, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Jonas Dahlgren
Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Umea, 90183 Sweden
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Aleksi Lehtonen
Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Latokartanonkaari 9 FI-00790 Helsinki Finland
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Wilfried Thuiller
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, Univ. Savoie Mont Blanc, CNRS, LECA, Laboratoire d’Ecologie Alpine, F-38000 Grenoble, France
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Christian Wirth
Department of Systematic Botany and Functional Biodiversity, University of Leipzig, Johannisallee 21-23, 04103 Leipzig, GermanyGerman Centre for Integrative Bio-diversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Deutscher Platz 5e, 04103 Leipzig, GermanyMax-Planck-Institute for Biogeochemistry, Hans-Knöllstr. 10, 07745 Jena, Germany
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Miguel A. Zavala
Grupo de Ecologia y Restauracion Forestal, Departamento de Ciencias de la Vida, Universidad de Alcala, Edificio de Ciencias, Campus Universitario, 28805 Alcala de Henares, Madrid, Spain
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Roberto Salguero-Gomez
Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, 11a Mansfield Rd OX1 3SZ, Oxford, UK
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
  • Abstract
  • Full Text
  • Info/History
  • Metrics
  • Supplementary material
  • Preview PDF
Loading

Abstract

Species range limits are thought to result from a decline in demographic performance because of unsuitable climate at the edges. However, recent studies reporting contradictory patterns in tree species demographic performance at their edges cast doubt on our ability to predict climate change impacts on species ranges. Here we parameterised integral projection models with climate and competition effects for 27 tree species using forest inventory data from over 90,000 plots across Europe. Then, we predicted growth, survival, lifespan, and passage time – the time to grow to a large size – at the hot and cold edges and compared them to the range centre. We found that while growth and passage time of European tree species are constrained at their cold edge, survival and lifespan are constrained at their hot edge. Our study shows a more complicated picture than previously thought with demographic responses that differ between hot and cold edges.

Copyright 
The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license.
Back to top
PreviousNext
Posted October 13, 2019.
Download PDF

Supplementary Material

Email

Thank you for your interest in spreading the word about bioRxiv.

NOTE: Your email address is requested solely to identify you as the sender of this article.

Enter multiple addresses on separate lines or separate them with commas.
‘Tree demographic performance of European tree species at their hot and cold edges.’
(Your Name) has forwarded a page to you from bioRxiv
(Your Name) thought you would like to see this page from the bioRxiv website.
Share
‘Tree demographic performance of European tree species at their hot and cold edges.’
Georges Kunstler, Arnaud Guyennon, Sophia Ratcliffe, Nadja Rüger, Paloma Ruiz-Benito, Dylan Z. Childs, Jonas Dahlgren, Aleksi Lehtonen, Wilfried Thuiller, Christian Wirth, Miguel A. Zavala, Roberto Salguero-Gomez
bioRxiv 801084; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/801084
Digg logo Reddit logo Twitter logo CiteULike logo Facebook logo Google logo Mendeley logo
Citation Tools
‘Tree demographic performance of European tree species at their hot and cold edges.’
Georges Kunstler, Arnaud Guyennon, Sophia Ratcliffe, Nadja Rüger, Paloma Ruiz-Benito, Dylan Z. Childs, Jonas Dahlgren, Aleksi Lehtonen, Wilfried Thuiller, Christian Wirth, Miguel A. Zavala, Roberto Salguero-Gomez
bioRxiv 801084; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/801084

Citation Manager Formats

  • BibTeX
  • Bookends
  • EasyBib
  • EndNote (tagged)
  • EndNote 8 (xml)
  • Medlars
  • Mendeley
  • Papers
  • RefWorks Tagged
  • Ref Manager
  • RIS
  • Zotero
  • Tweet Widget
  • Facebook Like
  • Google Plus One

Subject Area

  • Ecology
Subject Areas
All Articles
  • Animal Behavior and Cognition (1544)
  • Biochemistry (2500)
  • Bioengineering (1757)
  • Bioinformatics (9727)
  • Biophysics (3928)
  • Cancer Biology (2990)
  • Cell Biology (4235)
  • Clinical Trials (135)
  • Developmental Biology (2653)
  • Ecology (4129)
  • Epidemiology (2033)
  • Evolutionary Biology (6931)
  • Genetics (5243)
  • Genomics (6531)
  • Immunology (2207)
  • Microbiology (7012)
  • Molecular Biology (2782)
  • Neuroscience (17410)
  • Paleontology (127)
  • Pathology (432)
  • Pharmacology and Toxicology (712)
  • Physiology (1068)
  • Plant Biology (2515)
  • Scientific Communication and Education (647)
  • Synthetic Biology (835)
  • Systems Biology (2698)
  • Zoology (439)