Summary
Which comes first, funding or research impact? We use causal inference to determine the direction of influence in a record of 70,000 NIH-funded investigators, which was recently released. Contrary to the basic premise of many funding policies, we find that the number of citations of an investigator determine funding levels, but not the other way around.
Copyright
The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.