PT  - JOURNAL ARTICLE
AU  - Chen, Tianmu
AU  - Rui, Jia
AU  - Wang, Qiupeng
AU  - Zhao, Zeyu
AU  - Cui, Jing-An
AU  - Yin, Ling
TI  - A mathematical model for simulating the transmission of Wuhan novel Coronavirus
AID  - 10.1101/2020.01.19.911669
DP  - 2020 Jan 01
TA  - bioRxiv
PG  - 2020.01.19.911669
4099  - http://biorxiv.org/content/early/2020/01/19/2020.01.19.911669.short
4100  - http://biorxiv.org/content/early/2020/01/19/2020.01.19.911669.full
AB  - As reported by the World Health Organization, a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) was identified as the causative virus of Wuhan pneumonia of unknown etiology by Chinese authorities on 7 January, 2020. In this study, we developed a Bats-Hosts-Reservoir-People transmission network model for simulating the potential transmission from the infection source (probable be bats) to the human infection. Since the Bats-Hosts-Reservoir network was hard to explore clearly and public concerns were focusing on the transmission from a seafood market (reservoir) to people, we simplified the model as Reservoir-People transmission network model. The basic reproduction number (R0) was calculated from the RP model to assess the transmissibility of the 2019-nCoV.