PT - JOURNAL ARTICLE AU - Dominic A. Rufa AU - Hannah E. Bruce Macdonald AU - Josh Fass AU - Marcus Wieder AU - Patrick B. Grinaway AU - Adrian E. Roitberg AU - Olexandr Isayev AU - John D. Chodera TI - Towards chemical accuracy for alchemical free energy calculations with hybrid physics-based machine learning / molecular mechanics potentials AID - 10.1101/2020.07.29.227959 DP - 2020 Jan 01 TA - bioRxiv PG - 2020.07.29.227959 4099 - http://biorxiv.org/content/early/2020/07/30/2020.07.29.227959.short 4100 - http://biorxiv.org/content/early/2020/07/30/2020.07.29.227959.full AB - Alchemical free energy methods with molecular mechanics (MM) force fields are now widely used in the prioritization of small molecules for synthesis in structure-enabled drug discovery projects because of their ability to deliver 1–2 kcal mol−1 accuracy in well-behaved protein-ligand systems. Surpassing this accuracy limit would significantly reduce the number of compounds that must be synthesized to achieve desired potencies and selectivities in drug design campaigns. However, MM force fields pose a challenge to achieving higher accuracy due to their inability to capture the intricate atomic interactions of the physical systems they model. A major limitation is the accuracy with which ligand intramolecular energetics—especially torsions—can be modeled, as poor modeling of torsional profiles and coupling with other valence degrees of freedom can have a significant impact on binding free energies. Here, we demonstrate how a new generation of hybrid machine learning / molecular mechanics (ML/MM) potentials can deliver significant accuracy improvements in modeling protein-ligand binding affinities. Using a nonequilibrium perturbation approach, we can correct a standard, GPU-accelerated MM alchemical free energy calculation in a simple post-processing step to efficiently recover ML/MM free energies and deliver a significant accuracy improvement with small additional computational effort. To demonstrate the utility of ML/MM free energy calculations, we apply this approach to a benchmark system for predicting kinase:inhibitor binding affinities—a congeneric ligand series for non-receptor tyrosine kinase TYK2 (Tyk2)—wherein state-of-the-art MM free energy calculations (with OPLS2.1) achieve inaccuracies of 0.93±0.12 kcal mol−1 in predicting absolute binding free energies. Applying an ML/MM hybrid potential based on the ANI2x ML model and AMBER14SB/TIP3P with the OpenFF 1.0.0 (“Parsley”) small molecule force field as an MM model, we show that it is possible to significantly reduce the error in absolute binding free energies from 0.97 [95% CI: 0.68, 1.21] kcal mol−1 (MM) to 0.47 [95% CI: 0.31, 0.63] kcal mol−1 (ML/MM).Competing Interest StatementDisclosures: JDC is a current member of the Scientific Advisory Board of OpenEye Scientific Software and a consultant to Foresite Laboratories. The Chodera laboratory receives or has received funding from multiple sources, including the National Institutes of Health, the National Science Foundation, the Parker Institute for Cancer Immunotherapy, Relay Therapeutics, Entasis Therapeutics, Silicon Therapeutics, EMD Serono (Merck KGaA), AstraZeneca, Vir Biotechnology, Bayer, XtalPi, the Molecular Sciences Software Institute, the Starr Cancer Consortium, the Open Force Field Consortium, Cycle for Survival, a Louis V. Gerstner Young Investigator Award, and the Sloan Kettering Institute. A complete funding history for the Chodera lab can be found at http://choderalab.org/funding AER is a current member of the Science Advisory Board of Schrodinger Co. and receives funding from Genentech Co.