RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 Model-based prediction of bacterial population dynamics in gastrointestinal infection JF bioRxiv FD Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory SP 2020.08.11.244202 DO 10.1101/2020.08.11.244202 A1 Janina K. Geißert A1 Erwin Bohn A1 Reihaneh Mostolizadeh A1 Andreas Dräger A1 Ingo B. Autenrieth A1 Sina Beier A1 Oliver Deusch A1 Martin Eichner A1 Monika S. Schütz YR 2020 UL http://biorxiv.org/content/early/2020/08/12/2020.08.11.244202.abstract AB The complex interplay of a pathogen with the host immune response and the endogenous microbiome determines the course and outcome of gastrointestinal infection (GI). Expansion of a pathogen within the gastrointestinal tract implies an increased risk to develop systemic infection. Through computational modeling, we aimed to calculate bacterial population dynamics in GI in order to predict infection course and outcome. For the implementation and parameterization of the model, oral mouse infection experiments with Yersinia enterocolitica were used. Our model takes into account pathogen specific characteristics, such as virulence, as well as host properties, such as microbial colonization resistance or immune responses. We were able to confirm the model calculations in these scenarios by experimental mouse infections and show that it is possible to computationally predict the infection course. Far future clinical application of computational modeling of infections may pave the way for personalized treatment and prevention strategies of GI.Competing Interest StatementThe authors have declared no competing interest.