RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 Baseline T cell immune phenotypes predict virologic and disease control upon SARS-CoV infection JF bioRxiv FD Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory SP 2020.09.21.306837 DO 10.1101/2020.09.21.306837 A1 Jessica B. Graham A1 Jessica L. Swarts A1 Sarah R. Leist A1 Alexandra Schäfer A1 Vineet D. Menachery A1 Lisa E. Gralinski A1 Sophia Jeng A1 Darla R. Miller A1 Michael A. Mooney A1 Shannon K. McWeeney A1 Martin T. Ferris A1 Fernando Pardo-Manuel de Villena A1 Mark T. Heise A1 Ralph S. Baric A1 Jennifer M. Lund YR 2020 UL http://biorxiv.org/content/early/2020/09/21/2020.09.21.306837.abstract AB The COVID-19 pandemic has revealed that infection with SARS-CoV-2 can result in a wide range of clinical outcomes in humans, from asymptomatic or mild disease to severe disease that can require mechanical ventilation. An incomplete understanding of immune correlates of protection represents a major barrier to the design of vaccines and therapeutic approaches to prevent infection or limit disease. This deficit is largely due to the lack of prospectively collected, pre-infection samples from indiviuals that go on to become infected with SARS-CoV-2. Here, we utilized data from a screen of genetically diverse mice from the Collaborative Cross (CC) infected with SARS-CoV to determine whether circulating baseline T cell signatures are associated with a lack of viral control and severe disease upon infection. SARS-CoV infection of CC mice results in a variety of viral load trajectories and disease outcomes. Further, early control of virus in the lung correlates with an increased abundance of activated CD4 and CD8 T cells and regulatory T cells prior to infections across strains. A basal propensity of T cells to express IFNg and IL17 over TNFa also correlated with early viral control. Overall, a dysregulated, pro-inflammatory signature of circulating T cells at baseline was associated with severe disease upon infection. While future studies of human samples prior to infection with SARS-CoV-2 are required, our studies in mice with SARS-CoV serve as proof of concept that circulating T cell signatures at baseline can predict clinical and virologic outcomes upon SARS-CoV infection. Identification of basal immune predictors in humans could allow for identification of individuals at highest risk of severe clinical and virologic outcomes upon infection, who may thus most benefit from available clinical interventions to restrict infection and disease.Summary We used a screen of genetically diverse mice from the Collaborative Cross infected with mouse-adapted SARS-CoV in combination with comprehensive pre-infection immunophenotyping to identify baseline circulating immune correlates of severe virologic and clinical outcomes upon SARS-CoV infection.Competing Interest StatementThe authors have declared no competing interest.