RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 A Machine Learning approach for assessing drug development risk JF bioRxiv FD Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory SP 2020.10.08.331926 DO 10.1101/2020.10.08.331926 A1 Vangelis Vergetis A1 Gerasimos Liaropoulos A1 Maria Georganaki A1 Andreas Dimakakos A1 Dimitrios Skaltsas A1 Vassilis G Gorgoulis A1 Aristotelis Tsirigos YR 2020 UL http://biorxiv.org/content/early/2020/10/09/2020.10.08.331926.abstract AB Identifying new drug targets and developing safe and effective drugs is both challenging and risky. Furthermore, characterizing drug development risk - the probability that a drug will eventually receive regulatory approval - has been notoriously hard given the complexities of drug biology and clinical trials. This inherent risk is often misunderstood and mischaracterized, leading to inefficient allocation of resources, and, as a result, an overall reduction in R&D productivity. We propose a Machine Learning (ML) approach that provides a more accurate and unbiased estimate of drug development risk than traditional models.Competing Interest StatementVV, GL, MG, AD and DS are employees of Intelligencia.AI. AT is a scientific advisor to Intelligencia.AI.