RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 Curve selection for predicting breast cancer metastasis from prospective gene expression in blood JF bioRxiv FD Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory SP 141325 DO 10.1101/141325 A1 Holsbø, Einar A1 Perduca, Vittorio A1 Bongo, Lars Ailo A1 Lund, Eiliv A1 Birmelé, Etienne YR 2017 UL http://biorxiv.org/content/early/2017/05/23/141325.abstract AB In this article we use gene expression measurements from blood samples to predict breast cancer metastasis. We compare several predictive models and propose a biologically motivated variable selection scheme. Curve selection is based on the assumption that gene expression intensity as a function of time should diverge between cases and controls: there should be a larger difference between case and control closer to diagnosis than years before. We obtain better predictions and more stable predictive signatures by using curve selection and show some evidence that metastasis can be detected in blood samples.