RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 Methods for estimation of model accuracy in CASP12 JF bioRxiv FD Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory SP 143925 DO 10.1101/143925 A1 Arne Elofsson A1 Keehyoung Joo A1 Chen Keasar A1 Jooyoung Lee A1 Ali H. A. Maghrabi A1 Balachandran Manavalan A1 Liam J. McGuffin A1 David Ménendez Hurtado A1 Claudio Mirabello A1 Robert Pilstål A1 Tomer Sidi A1 Karolis Uziela A1 Björn Wallner YR 2017 UL http://biorxiv.org/content/early/2017/05/30/143925.abstract AB Methods for reliably estimating the quality of 3D models of proteins are essential drivers for the wide adoption and serious acceptance of protein structure predictions by life scientists. In this paper, the most successful groups in CASP12 describe their latest methods for Estimates of Model Accuracy (EMA). We show that pure single model accuracy estimation methods have shown clear progress since CASP11; the three top methods (MESHI, ProQ3, SVMQA) all perform better than the top method of CASP11 (ProQ2). The pure single model accuracy estimation methods outperform quasi-single (ModFOLD6 variations) and consensus methods (Pcons,ModFOLDclust2, Pcomb-domain and Wallner) in model selection, but are still not as good as those methods in absolute model quality estimation and predictions of local quality. Finally, we show that the correlation of the best consensus, combined and quasi-single methods with model quality measures is higher than between different model quality measures when it comes to global correlation. However, for local accuracy estimation there still room for improvement.