PT - JOURNAL ARTICLE AU - Jean Feng AU - William S DeWitt III AU - Aaron McKenna AU - Noah Simon AU - Amy Willis AU - Frederick A Matsen IV TI - Estimation of cell lineage trees by maximum-likelihood phylogenetics AID - 10.1101/595215 DP - 2019 Jan 01 TA - bioRxiv PG - 595215 4099 - http://biorxiv.org/content/early/2019/03/31/595215.short 4100 - http://biorxiv.org/content/early/2019/03/31/595215.full AB - CRISPR technology has enabled large-scale cell lineage tracing for complex multicellular organisms by mutating synthetic genomic barcodes during organismal development. However, these sophisticated biological tools currently use ad-hoc and outmoded computational methods to reconstruct the cell lineage tree from the mutated barcodes. Because these methods are agnostic to the biological mechanism, they are unable to take full advantage of the data’s structure. We propose a statistical model for the mutation process and develop a procedure to estimate the tree topology, branch lengths, and mutation parameters by iteratively applying penalized maximum likelihood estimation. In contrast to existing techniques, our method estimates time along each branch, rather than number of mutation events, thus providing a detailed account of tissue-type differentiation. Via simulations, we demonstrate that our method is substantially more accurate than existing approaches. Our reconstructed trees also better recapitulate known aspects of zebrafish development and reproduce similar results across fish replicates.