RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 Critical slowing as a biomarker for seizure susceptibility JF bioRxiv FD Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory SP 689893 DO 10.1101/689893 A1 Matias I. Maturana A1 Christian Meisel A1 Katrina Dell A1 Philippa J. Karoly A1 Wendyl D’Souza A1 David B. Grayden A1 Anthony N. Burkitt A1 Premysl Jiruska A1 Jan Kudlacek A1 Jaroslav Hlinka A1 Mark J. Cook A1 Levin Kuhlmann A1 Dean R. Freestone YR 2019 UL http://biorxiv.org/content/early/2019/07/02/689893.abstract AB The human brain has the capacity to rapidly change state, and in epilepsy these state changes can be catastrophic, resulting in loss of consciousness, injury and even death. Theoretical interpretations considering the brain as a dynamical system would suggest that prior to a seizure recorded brain signals may exhibit critical slowing, a warning signal preceding many critical transitions in dynamical systems. Using long-term intracranial electroencephalography (iEEG) recordings from fourteen patients with focal epilepsy, we found key signatures of critical slowing prior to seizures. Signals related to a critically slowing process fluctuated over temporally long scales (hours to days), longer than would be detectable in standard clinical evaluation settings. Seizure risk was associated with a combination of these signals together with epileptiform discharges. These results provide strong validation of theoretical models and demonstrate that critical slowing is a reliable indicator that could be used in seizure forecasting algorithms.