Abstract
In this paper, we develop the theory of basic reproduction ratios \(\mathcal {R}_0\) for abstract functional differential systems in a time-periodic environment. It is proved that \(\mathcal {R}_0-1\) has the same sign as the exponential growth bound of an associated linear system. Then we apply it to a time-periodic Lyme disease model with time-delay and obtain a threshold type result on its global dynamics in terms of \(\mathcal {R}_0\).
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Amann, H.: Fixed point equations and nonlinear eigenvalue problems in ordered banach spaces. SIAM Rev. 18, 620–709 (1976)
Bacaër, N., Dads, E.H.A.: Genealogy with seasonality, the basic reproduction number, and the influenza pandemic. J. Math. Biol. 62, 741–762 (2011)
Bacaër, N., Dads, E.H.A.: On the biological interpretation of a definition for the parameter \(R_0\) in periodic population models. J. Math. Biol. 65, 601–621 (2012)
Bacaër, N., Guernaoui, S.: The epidemic threshold of vector-borne diseases with seasonality. J. Math. Biol. 53, 421–436 (2006)
Burlando, L.: Monotonicity of spectral radius for positive operators on ordered banach spaces. Arch. Math. (Basel) 56, 49–57 (1991)
Caraco, T., Glavanakov, S., Chen, G., Flaherty, J.E., Ohsumi, T.K., Szymanski, B.K.: Stage-structured infection transmission and a spatial epidemic: a model for Lyme disease. Am. Nat. 160, 348–359 (2002)
Daners, D., Medina, P.K.: Abstract Evolution Equations, Periodic Problems and Applications. Pitman Research Notes in Mathematics Series, vol. 279. Longman Scientific & Technical, Harlow, UK (1992).
Deimling, K.: Nonlinear Functional Analysis. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, Heidelberg (1985)
Diekmann, O., Heesterbeek, J., Metz, J.A.: On the definition and the computation of the basic reproduction ratio \(R_0\) in models for infectious diseases in heterogeneous populations. J. Math. Biol. 28, 365–382 (1990)
Du, Y.: Order structure and topological methods in nonlinear partial differential equations. In: Maximum Principles and Applications, vol. 1, World Scientific, New Jersey (2006)
Fan, G., Lou, Y., Thieme, H., Wu, J.: Stability and persistence in ODE models for populations with many stages. Math. Biosci. Eng. 12, 661–686 (2015)
Fan, G., Thieme, H.R., Zhu, H.: Delay differential systems for tick population dynamics. J. Math. Biol. 71, 1017–1048 (2015)
Freedman, H., Zhao, X.-Q.: Global asymptotics in some quasimonotone reaction–diffusion systems with delays. J. Differ. Equ. 137, 340–362 (1997)
Guo, Z., Wang, F.-B., Zou, X.: Threshold dynamics of an infective disease model with a fixed latent period and non-local infections. J. Math. Biol. 65, 1387–1410 (2012)
Hartemink, N., Randolph, S., Davis, S., Heesterbeek, J.: The basic reproduction number for complex disease systems: defining \(R_0\) for tick-borne infections. Am. Nat. 171, 743–754 (2008)
Hartman, P.: Ordinary Differential Equations. Classics in Applied Mathematics, vol. 38. SIAM, Philadelphia (2002)
Hess, P.: Periodic-Parabolic Boundary Value Problems and Positivity. Longman Scientific & Technical, Harlow, UK (1991)
Hsu, S.-B., Wang, F.-B., Zhao, X.-Q.: Dynamics of a periodically pulsed bio-reactor model with a hydraulic storage zone. J. Dyn. Differ. Equ. 23, 817–842 (2011)
Inaba, H.: On a new perspective of the basic reproduction number in heterogeneous environments. J. Math. Biol. 65, 309–348 (2012)
Kato, T.: Perturbation Theory for Linear Operators. Classics in Mathematics [Reprint of the 1980 edition]. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, Heidelberg (1995)
Kelley, J.L.: General Topology, vol. 27. Springer-Verlag, New York, Heidelberg, Berlin (1975)
Lou, Y., Zhao, X.-Q.: A reaction–diffusion malaria model with incubation period in the vector population. J. Math. Biol. 62, 543–568 (2011)
Lou, Y., Zhao, X.-Q.: A theoretical approach to understanding population dynamics with seasonal developmental durations. J. Nonlinear Sci. 27, 573–603 (2017)
Martin, R., Smith, H.: Abstract functional-differential equations and reaction-diffusion systems. Trans. Am. Math. Soc. 321, 1–44 (1990)
Matser, A., Hartemink, N., Heesterbeek, H., Galvani, A., Davis, S.: Elasticity analysis in epidemiology: an application to tick-borne infections. Ecol. Lett. 12, 1298–1305 (2009)
Mckenzie, H., Jin, Y., Jacobsen, J., Lewis, M.: \(R_0\) analysis of a spatiotemporal model for a stream population. SIAM J. Appl. Dyn. Syst. 11, 567–596 (2012)
Nussbaum, R.: Eigenvectors of nonlinear positive operators and the linear Krein-Rutman theorem. In: Fadell, E., Fournier, G. (eds.), Fixed Point Theory, Lecture Notes in Math, vol. 886, pp. 309–330 (1981)
Ogden, N., Bigras-Poulin, M., O’callaghan, C., Barker, I., Lindsay, L., Maarouf, A., Smoyer-Tomic, K., Waltner-Toews, D., Charron, D.: A dynamic population model to investigate effects of climate on geographic range and seasonality of the tick ixodes scapularis. Int. J. Parasitol. 35, 375–389 (2005)
Ogden, N., Bigras-Poulin, M., O’callaghan, C., Barker, I., Kurtenbach, K., Lindsay, L., Charron, D.: Vector seasonality, host infection dynamics and fitness of pathogens transmitted by the tick ixodes scapularis. Parasitology 134, 209–227 (2007)
Reed, M., Simon, B.: Methods of Modern Mathematical Physics, vol. 1. Functional Analysis. Academic, New York (1980)
Rosa, R., Pugliese, A.: Effects of tick population dynamics and host densities on the persistence of tick-borne infections. Math. Biosci. 208, 216–240 (2007)
Schaefer, H.: Some spectral properties of positive linear operators. Pac. J. Math. 10, 1009–1019 (1960)
Schechter, M.: Principles of Functional Analysis, vol. 2. Academic, New York (1971)
Thieme, H.R.: Spectral bound and reproduction number for infinite-dimensional population structure and time heterogeneity. SIAM J. Appl. Math. 70, 188–211 (2009)
Van den Driessche, P., Watmough, J.: Reproduction numbers and sub-threshold endemic equilibria for compartmental models of disease transmission. Math. Biosci. 180, 29–48 (2002)
Wang, B.-G., Zhao, X.-Q.: Basic reproduction ratios for almost periodic compartmental epidemic models. J. Dyn. Differ. Equ. 25, 535–562 (2013)
Wang, W., Zhao, X.-Q.: Threshold dynamics for compartmental epidemic models in periodic environments. J. Dyn. Differ. Equ. 20, 699–717 (2008)
Wang, W., Zhao, X.-Q.: Basic reproduction numbers for reaction–diffusion epidemic models. SIAM J. Appl. Dyn. Syst. 11, 1652–1673 (2012)
Wang, W., Zhao, X.-Q.: Spatial invasion threshold of Lyme disease. SIAM J. Appl. Math. 75, 1142–1170 (2015)
Wang, X., Zhao, X.-Q.: A periodic vector-bias malaria model with incubation period. SIAM J. Appl. Math. 77, 181–201 (2017)
Yu, X., Zhao, X.-Q.: A nonlocal spatial model for Lyme disease. J. Differ. Equ. 261, 340–372 (2016)
Zhang, L., Wang, Z.-C., Zhao, X.-Q.: Threshold dynamics of a time periodic reaction–diffusion epidemic model with latent period. J. Differ. Equ. 258, 3011–3036 (2015)
Zhang, Y., Zhao, X.-Q.: A reaction–diffusion Lyme disease model with seasonality. SIAM J. Appl. Math. 73, 2077–2099 (2013)
Zhao, X.-Q.: Global attractivity and stability in some monotone discrete dynamical systems. Bull. Aust. Math. Soc. 53, 305–324 (1996)
Zhao, X.-Q.: Basic reproduction ratios for periodic compartmental models with time delay. J. Dyn. Differ. Equ. 29, 67–82 (2017)
Zhao, X.-Q.: Dynamical Systems in Population Biology, 2nd edn. Springer, New York (2017)
Acknowledgements
Liang’s research is supported by the the National Natural Science Foundation of China (11571334) and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities; Zhang’s research is supported by the China Scholarship Council under a joint-training program at Memorial University of Newfoundland; and Zhao’s research is supported in part by the NSERC of Canada. We are also grateful to the anonymous referee for careful reading and valuable comments which led to improvements of our original manuscript.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
In Memory of Professor George Sell
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Liang, X., Zhang, L. & Zhao, XQ. Basic Reproduction Ratios for Periodic Abstract Functional Differential Equations (with Application to a Spatial Model for Lyme Disease). J Dyn Diff Equat 31, 1247–1278 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10884-017-9601-7
Received:
Revised:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10884-017-9601-7
Keywords
- Basic reproduction ratio
- Abstract functional differential system
- Periodic solution
- Lyme disease
- Threshold dynamics