Methodology for the use of DSSAT models for precision agriculture decision support
Introduction
Producers in the Midwestern US often use yield monitors to map spatial yield variability within their fields. These data have revealed that a tremendous amount of yield variability exists within most fields. Spatial yield variability results from complex interactions among factors including water stress, nutrients, rooting depth, soil physical properties, drainage, weather, pests, and management. Much of the variability in a field is caused by soil properties, a source of variability which naturally exists and cannot easily be altered. On the other hand, some variability exists due to factors that can be managed (e.g. pests, poor emergence, water logging).
Crop growth models integrate the effects of soils, weather, management, genetics, and pests on daily growth, and can be used to gain insight into spatial yield variability. Among the numerous crop growth models, the most widely used are the Decision Support for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) models, which were designed to simulate growth, development, and yield of a crop growing on a uniform area of land, as well as the changes in soil water, carbon, and nitrogen that take place under the cropping system over time (Jones et al., 2003). DSSAT has been in use for the past 15 years by researchers all over the world, for a variety of purposes, including crop management (Fetcher et al., 1991), climate change impact studies (Alexandrov and Hoogenboom, 2001), sustainability research (Quemada and Cabrera, 1995), and precision agriculture (Paz et al., 2001, Paz et al., 2003), and is well validated for a number of regions and crops. Included in the DSSAT family are modules which simulate the growth of 16 different crops, including maize, soybeans, wheat, rice, and others. DSSAT uses common modules for soil dynamics and soil–plant–atmosphere interactions regardless of the plant growth module selected. Data requirements include weather inputs (daily maximum and minimum temperature, rainfall and solar radiation), soils classification, and crop management practices (variety, row spacing, plant population, fertilizer and irrigation application dates and amounts).
While the DSSAT family of crop growth models provides many opportunities for critical analysis, it is tedious to use for precision agriculture studies and decision support because the model is built for simulation of a single homogeneous field unit. In order to facilitate the use of DSSAT for precision agriculture decision support, automated procedures and related tools are needed to implement crop growth simulations spatially across field-level management zones.
We have developed methods to use the DSSAT family of crop growth models to understand causes of spatial yield variability, conduct yield gap analysis for factors that limit yield, and estimate the economic consequences of moving from uniform to spatially variable management. We have also developed methodologies to automate the preparation of necessary input files for DSSAT to be used to simulate spatially variable crop development. These methods have been used successfully in several studies (Thorp et al., 2006, Thorp et al., 2007, DeJonge et al., 2007, Miao et al., 2006) but have not yet been fully explained.
In this paper we describe these methods, combined into a prototype precision farming decision support system (DSS) called Apollo, which integrates several precision farming applications developed for the DSSAT crop growth models into a single interface. Specifically, we detail the development and utilization of Apollo to allow researchers to (1) build model input files for spatially varying parameters, (2) calibrate input parameters for the crop growth models in order to simulate historical yield variability within a field, (3) validate the calibrations for seasons not used for calibration, and (4) estimate the crop response and environmental consequences of precision prescriptions or other management decisions.
Section snippets
Building model input files for spatially varying parameters
DSSAT simulations require a soil input file that details the physical and hydraulic properties of the soil. If comparison of model output yield to observed yield data is to be done, for example in order to calibrate the model to specific local conditions, formatted yield data is also required. When using DSSAT for precision agriculture applications, a challenge is to efficiently generate these files for each management zone. One function of Apollo, then, is to automate the generation of these
Case study: impacts of climate change on spatial yield variability
Previous investigations have detailed the use of Apollo for model calibration and validation (Thorp et al., 2007), development of precision nitrogen management strategies (Thorp et al., 2006), spatially variable-irrigation (DeJonge et al., 2007), etc. We will therefore conclude this paper by demonstrating the use of Apollo for a new application. We will use the system to simulate the potential effects of projected climate change spatial yield variability.
Future scenario climates for the mid to
Conclusions
Crop models provide a mechanistic way to estimate the interaction of spatial differences in soil properties and pest populations with temporal stresses on yield variability within a field. This is possible because the models compute daily growth processes as a function of weather, stress, and pest damage. Once calibrated to simulate the historical yield variability within a field, crop models are a powerful tool to develop risk management strategies that can balance economic risk incurred by
Acknowledgements
The authors wish to thank Dr. Eugene Takle and Dr. Eric Lu of the Iowa State University Department of Agronomy for their assistance with and providing of the simulated climate data used in this study.
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