Prehistoric population history in eastern Fennoscandia
Introduction
After a couple of lean decades, archaeologists are showing an increasing interest in prehistoric population patterns. On the methodological side, the use of different kinds of proxy measures has proven to be a promising way of deriving interesting demographic information from archaeological data (e.g. Bocquet-Appel and Demars, 2000, Gamble et al., 2005). For example, using the summed probability distribution of radiocarbon dates, Shennan and Edinborough (2007) investigate the history of Mesolithic and Neolithic populations in Germany, Poland and Denmark. They find, quite expectedly, that the population increased profoundly at the beginning of the Neolithic period. Interestingly, their results also indicate that in all areas, hunter–gatherer population levels were lower just before the local appearance of farming economies than they were some centuries earlier.
In this article, we will focus further north on the European map. Inspired by the questions and methods outlined in recent studies, our aim is to elucidate the population history of eastern Fennoscandia from its earliest colonisation c. 9000 BC to the end of the 12th century AD, which marks the beginning of the historical period in southern and western parts of the research area. In addition, we will explore probable causes of the remarkable fluctuations observed in the population levels by considering the hypothesis that the pattern is linked to changing environmental and subsistence factors. Three different sub-areas are also compared to assess whether the population patterns differ between different geographical and cultural areas. Further broad-scale comparisons of the eastern Fennoscandian population history to the population histories of nearby areas in Northern and Central Europe reveal interesting results as well.
Section snippets
Background: reconstructing prehistoric demographic patterns
Among archaeologists, the renewed theoretical interest in demographic variables, especially in population size, has increased along with the rise of evolutionary archaeology. It has even been said now that population dynamics is the single most important factor in understanding cultural change (Shennan, 2000: 821). As Shennan (2002: 112) has pointed out, it is life history theory that has given a new lease to this subject by predicting that individual-level life history decisions lead to
Radiocarbon date database
The archaeological radiocarbon analyses performed at the Dating Laboratory of Finnish Museum of Natural History (University of Helsinki) form the backbone of the radiocarbon dataset we used. The dataset was also extended to cover, as thoroughly as possible, the published archaeological radiocarbon dates for the eastern Fennoscandian territory measured elsewhere. Altogether, the collected database consists of 1789 individual radiocarbon dates older than 800 radiocarbon years (Table 1). The dates
Summing of radiocarbon dates
With the radiocarbon dates, we followed a method broadly similar to that of Gamble et al. (2005) and Shennan and Edinborough (2007), where probability distributions of the dates were summed and plotted using the CalPal program (Weninger and Jöris, 2004). We used Intcal04 (Reimer et al., 2004) as a calibrating curve, realising its potential problems as some of the samples might have been subject to the reservoir effect.
Previous studies have noted that differing research emphases may cause some
Population proxy distributions and their reliability
Fig. 2 shows eight random samples (n = 996) from uncombined and combined radiocarbon datasets representing the whole research area. The general trend appears to be very similar in every distribution. However, the very pronounced peak between c. 4000 and 3500 cal BC decreases slightly when dates are combined. This decreasing indicates that the average number of dates per site is higher during the peak period than somewhat before and after it, which is likely due to dating campaigns of the ceramic
Conclusion
Our research adds to the growing number of studies that utilise radiocarbon date distributions in the investigation of prehistoric population history. By comparison with other proxies presented here and in previous studies, we have tried to determine whether the temporal frequency distributions of dates give a sufficiently reliable picture of the strength of the archaeological signal, and thus the prehistoric population size in eastern Fennoscandia. The positive results of these comparisons
Acknowledgements
We would like to thank customers of the Dating Laboratory (Finnish Museum of Natural History/University of Helsinki) who kindly gave us permission to use their unpublished dates and Esa Hertell, Peter Jordan, Mikael A. Manninen, Tuija Rankama, Tapani Rostedt, Meri Varonen and three anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments on the earlier version of the manuscript. In addition, Tallavaara and Pesonen would like to thank Päivi Onkamo and her Argeopop-project for partly funding their
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