A proposal for a goodness-of-fit test to the Arnason-Schwarz multisite capture-recapture model

Biometrics. 2003 Mar;59(1):43-53. doi: 10.1111/1541-0420.00006.

Abstract

In an analysis of capture-recapture data, the identification of a model that fits is a critical step. For the multisite (also called multistate) models used to analyze data gathered at several sites, no reliable test for assessing fit is currently available. We propose a test for the JMV model, a simple generalization of the Arnason-Schwarz (AS) model, in the form of interpretable contingency tables. For the AS model, we suggest complementing the test for the JMV model with a likelihood ratio test of AS vs. JMV. The examination of an example leads us to propose further a partitioning that emphasizes the role of the memory model of Brownie et al. (1993 Biometrics 49, 1173-1187) as a biologically more plausible alternative to the AS model.

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Behavior, Animal
  • Biometry / methods*
  • Data Interpretation, Statistical
  • Geese / physiology
  • Geography
  • Likelihood Functions
  • Models, Biological*
  • Time