Introduction. Climate change projections indicate that droughts will become more intense in
the 21 century in some areas of the world. The El Niño Southern Oscillation is associated …

During the winter of 2013/14, much of the UK experienced repeated intense rainfall events
and flooding. This had a considerable impact on property and transport infrastructure. A key …

The high climate sensitivity of hydrologic systems, the importance of those systems to society,
and the imprecise nature of future climate projections all motivate interest in characterizing …

Climate and land-use change drive a suite of stressors that shape ecosystems and interact
to yield complex ecological responses (that is, additive, antagonistic and synergistic effects). …

… ranges of 1–1·5C in the south to 2·5–2·75C in the north, slightly higher during … C in the
south and increases towards the north to 2·5–3·0C while the winter range is between 1 and 1·5C …

Increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere are expected to modify
the global water cycle with significant consequences for terrestrial hydrology. We assess the …

The issues of downscaling the results from global climate models (GCMs) to a scale relevant
for hydrological impact studies are examined. GCM outputs, typically at a spatial resolution …

… Climate sensitivity is assumed to equal 2.5 C. They were designed to express some of the
uncertainties inherent in GCMs and emission scenarios, but require much less computational …

Quantifying the effects of future changes in the frequency of precipitation extremes is a key
challenge in assessing the vulnerability of hydrological systems to climate change but is …

… Projected temperature changes lie between 2 and 3 C in 50% of GCM experiments in both
regions (Fig. 5, top row), and between 1 to 4 C in 100% and 98% of cases in the north and the …