User profiles for CA Donnelly
 | Christl DonnellyProfessor of Applied Statistics, University of Oxford Verified email at stats.ox.ac.uk Cited by 70756 |
Epidemiology, transmission dynamics and control of SARS: the 2002–2003 epidemic
… Maximum virus excretion from the respiratory tract occurs on ca. day 10 of illness and declines
thereafter to a low level at ca. day 23. Virus in stools seems to start later than in respiratory …
thereafter to a low level at ca. day 23. Virus in stools seems to start later than in respiratory …
[HTML][HTML] Potential biases in estimating absolute and relative case-fatality risks during outbreaks
Estimating the case-fatality risk (CFR)—the probability that a person dies from an infection
given that they are a case—is a high priority in epidemiologic investigation of newly emerging …
given that they are a case—is a high priority in epidemiologic investigation of newly emerging …
[HTML][HTML] A review of epidemiological parameters from Ebola outbreaks to inform early public health decision-making
The unprecedented scale of the Ebola outbreak in West Africa has, as of 29 April 2015,
resulted in more than 10,884 deaths among 26,277 cases. Prior to the ongoing outbreak, Ebola …
resulted in more than 10,884 deaths among 26,277 cases. Prior to the ongoing outbreak, Ebola …
[BOOK][B] Report 9: Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID19 mortality and healthcare demand
The global impact of COVID-19 has been profound, and the public health threat it represents
is the most serious seen in a respiratory virus since the 1918 H1N1 influenza pandemic. …
is the most serious seen in a respiratory virus since the 1918 H1N1 influenza pandemic. …
[HTML][HTML] Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis
…, H Wang, Y Wang, X Xi, CA Donnelly… - The Lancet infectious …, 2020 - thelancet.com
Background In the face of rapidly changing data, a range of case fatality ratio estimates for
coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) have been produced that differ substantially in …
coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) have been produced that differ substantially in …
[HTML][HTML] Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe
Following the detection of the new coronavirus 1 severe acute respiratory syndrome
coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and its spread outside of China, Europe has experienced large …
coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and its spread outside of China, Europe has experienced large …
Pandemic potential of a strain of influenza A (H1N1): early findings
… be viewed as a worst case (from the perspective of resulting CFR estimates), and it fitted the
observed number of exported cases in key countries (such as the United States and Canada…
observed number of exported cases in key countries (such as the United States and Canada…
[HTML][HTML] Suppression of a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the Italian municipality of Vo'
…, S Toppo, M Trevisan, V Baldo, CA Donnelly… - Nature, 2020 - nature.com
On 21 February 2020, a resident of the municipality of Vo’, a small town near Padua (Italy),
died of pneumonia due to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) …
died of pneumonia due to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) …
Transmission dynamics of the etiological agent of SARS in Hong Kong: impact of public health interventions
We present an analysis of the first 10 weeks of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS)
epidemic in Hong Kong. The epidemic to date has been characterized by two large …
epidemic in Hong Kong. The epidemic to date has been characterized by two large …
[HTML][HTML] Epidemiological determinants of spread of causal agent of severe acute respiratory syndrome in Hong Kong
Background Health authorities worldwide, especially in the Asia Pacific region, are seeking
effective public-health interventions in the continuing epidemic of severe acute respiratory …
effective public-health interventions in the continuing epidemic of severe acute respiratory …