The dynamics of viral shedding and symptoms following influenza virus infection are key
factors when considering epidemic control measures. The authors reviewed published studies …

Herd immunity is a key concept for epidemic control. It states that only a proportion of a
population needs to be immune (through overcoming natural infection or through vaccination) to …

In response to WHO raising the influenza pandemic alert level from phase five to phase six,
health officials around the world are carefully reviewing pandemic mitigation protocols. …

Highly pathogenic H5N1 influenza A viruses are now endemic in avian populations in
Southeast Asia, and human cases continue to accumulate. Although currently incapable of …

… s in country c. The expected number of deaths for the age group a of sex s in country c, D c,a,s
… of infection in country c, δ a the relative probability of infection in age group a and IFR a,s …

A novel influenza A (H1N1) virus has spread rapidly across the globe. Judging its pandemic
potential is difficult with limited data, but nevertheless essential to inform appropriate health …

… a probability distribution w s , dependent on time since infection of the case, s, but independent
… most infectious at time s when w s is the largest. The distribution w s typically depends on …

The global population at risk from mosquito-borne diseases—including dengue, yellow fever,
chikungunya and Zika—is expanding in concert with changes in the distribution of two key …

France has been heavily affected by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)
pandemic and went into lockdown on 17 March 2020. Using models applied to …

… of women (n S ) whose pregnancies started in a given week (w S ). Assuming that the birth
rate was constant during the study period, we defined it as 80·4 per week (n S =4182/52). To …