No‐analog communities (communities that are compositionally unlike any found today)
occurred frequently in the past and will develop in the greenhouse world of the future. The well …

Ecological history plays many roles in ecological restoration, most notably as a tool to identify
and characterize appropriate targets for restoration efforts. However, ecological history …

Climate change is predicted to become a major threat to biodiversity in the 21st century, but
accurate predictions and effective solutions have proved difficult to formulate. Alarming …

Key risks associated with projected climate trends for the 21st century include the prospects
of future climate states with no current analog and the disappearance of some extant …

Predicting ecosystem responses to global change is a major challenge in ecology. A critical
step in that challenge is to understand how changing environmental conditions influence …

The environmental and biotic history of the late Quaternary represents a critical junction
between ecology, global change studies, and pre-Quaternary paleobiology. Late Quaternary …

… Jackson are in the Department of Botany, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY 82701;
George Hurtt and Stephen Pacala are in the Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology …

Here, we outline a conceptual framework for biodiversity dynamics following environmental
change. The model incorporates lags in extinction and immigration, which lead to extinction …

Climate change in the coming centuries will be characterized by interannual, decadal, and
multidecadal fluctuations superimposed on anthropogenic trends. Predicting ecological and …

“Space-for-time” substitution is widely used in biodiversity modeling to infer past or future
trajectories of ecological systems from contemporary spatial patterns. However, the …